#82 Black Lung (20-9)

avg: 1126.33  •  sd: 61.11  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
179 Chimney Win 10-8 848.36 Jun 22nd SCINNY 2019
137 Babe Win 13-12 966.9 Jun 22nd SCINNY 2019
201 Flying Pig** Win 15-3 1054.92 Ignored Jun 22nd SCINNY 2019
225 Flying Dutchmen** Win 15-4 847 Ignored Jun 23rd SCINNY 2019
185 A-Block Win 13-6 1153.5 Jun 23rd SCINNY 2019
224 Bird Patrol** Win 15-5 862.11 Ignored Jun 23rd SCINNY 2019
70 Omen Win 15-7 1802.52 Jun 23rd SCINNY 2019
154 Foxtrot Win 13-3 1361.61 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
231 Black Market III** Win 13-3 735.41 Ignored Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
100 Timber Win 13-4 1641.48 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
73 ISO Atmo Loss 8-13 691.54 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
129 Kentucky Flying Circus Win 10-9 1023.44 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
54 Battery Loss 11-13 1078.65 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
21 Brickyard Loss 5-13 1087.79 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
104 Charleston Heat Stroke Loss 10-13 697.08 Aug 24th FCS Invite 2019
122 Cockfight Loss 6-10 427.3 Aug 24th FCS Invite 2019
75 Richmond Floodwall Win 11-9 1414.37 Aug 24th FCS Invite 2019
51 Turbine Loss 9-12 987.32 Aug 24th FCS Invite 2019
122 Cockfight Win 15-9 1438.94 Aug 25th FCS Invite 2019
35 Tanasi Loss 7-13 916.1 Aug 25th FCS Invite 2019
115 baNC Win 12-11 1087.39 Aug 25th FCS Invite 2019
23 CLE Smokestack Loss 8-11 1270.05 Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
225 Flying Dutchmen** Win 11-3 847 Ignored Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
128 Enigma Win 11-5 1499.13 Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
200 NEO Win 11-5 1063.49 Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
191 Midnight Meat Train Win 11-2 1126.4 Sep 8th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
129 Kentucky Flying Circus Loss 8-11 532.83 Sep 8th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
129 Kentucky Flying Circus Win 13-6 1498.44 Sep 8th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
137 Babe Win 13-3 1441.9 Sep 8th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)