#113 Choice City Hops (15-14)

avg: 991.9  •  sd: 45.6  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
115 Johnny Walker Win 13-11 1215.38 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
41 Inception Loss 13-14 1295.45 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
16 Johnny Bravo** Loss 4-13 1189.53 Ignored Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
34 Johnny Encore Loss 11-15 1097.63 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
80 ISO Atmo Loss 8-10 884.25 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
191 Yacht Club Win 10-9 652.56 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
137 Kansas City Smokestack Win 10-9 997.45 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
71 Dreadnought Loss 2-9 590.7 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
219 Tsunami B** Win 11-4 907.11 Ignored Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
59 Scythe Loss 5-15 682.8 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
137 Kansas City Smokestack Win 11-8 1238.06 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
70 Sundowners Win 10-9 1353.1 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
158 Cojones Win 13-9 1161.1 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
68 Sawtooth Loss 11-13 1007.57 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
167 OC Crows Win 13-6 1274.71 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
70 Sundowners Win 11-10 1353.1 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
49 The Killjoys Loss 10-13 1056.5 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
90 PowderHogs Win 12-9 1438.16 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
161 Boulder United Flatiron Hammers Win 13-9 1133.87 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
148 Syndicate Win 13-12 917.64 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
80 ISO Atmo Win 13-10 1475.06 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
41 Inception Loss 9-13 1001.88 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
174 Daybreak Win 13-8 1131.64 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
41 Inception Loss 5-13 820.45 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
64 Gamble Loss 7-13 693.7 Sep 21st South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
41 Inception Loss 6-13 820.45 Sep 21st South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
106 Papa Bear Loss 6-13 419.96 Sep 21st South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
138 Glycerine Loss 6-12 275.13 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
155 Supercell Win 12-9 1093.67 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)