#121 BlackER Market (12-18)

avg: 706.46  •  sd: 51.31  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
95 Scythe Loss 6-13 279.07 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
119 MomINtuM Loss 10-13 384.19 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
163 Hippie Mafia Win 13-7 706.05 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
123 Satellite Loss 8-13 205 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
103 houSE Win 11-10 948.54 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
119 MomINtuM Loss 8-11 346.73 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
103 houSE Loss 7-13 266.01 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
117 THE BODY Loss 6-13 130.94 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
163 Hippie Mafia Win 13-5 748.52 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
149 Chimney Win 14-12 567.99 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
116 Greater Gary Goblins X Loss 8-15 176.35 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
163 Hippie Mafia Win 14-13 273.52 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
49 CaSTLe Loss 4-13 614.15 Aug 25th The Bropen 2018
56 Haymaker Loss 3-13 530.27 Aug 25th The Bropen 2018
39 Mad Men Loss 1-13 678.97 Aug 25th The Bropen 2018
103 houSE Loss 9-13 404.97 Aug 25th The Bropen 2018
53 Illusion Loss 3-13 574.08 Aug 26th The Bropen 2018
161 Ironside Win 13-5 807.16 Aug 26th The Bropen 2018
170 Bird Patrol** Win 13-2 625.47 Ignored Sep 8th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
31 Black Market** Loss 2-13 746.73 Ignored Sep 8th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
73 Greater Gary Goblins Y Loss 12-13 890.8 Sep 8th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
116 Greater Gary Goblins X Win 13-6 1341.16 Sep 8th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
123 Satellite Win 15-8 1265.96 Sep 9th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
119 MomINtuM Win 10-8 975 Sep 9th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
104 Black Lung Win 10-7 1198.39 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
56 Haymaker Loss 11-13 901.43 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
26 Brickyard Loss 9-13 980.27 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
48 Four Loss 10-15 762.47 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
112 Enigma Win 15-3 1364.44 Sep 23rd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
51 BroCats Loss 8-15 625.04 Sep 23rd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)