#30 Garden State Ultimate (15-7)

avg: 1350.55  •  sd: 75.98  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
42 CITYWIDE Special Win 10-9 1390.19 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
52 Oakgrove Boys Win 13-10 1515.07 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
34 Lost Boys Win 13-7 1866.72 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
25 Medicine Men Loss 10-12 1167.46 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
33 Richmond Floodwall Loss 9-11 1094.35 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
54 Blueprint Win 10-6 1654.84 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
50 Colt Loss 12-13 1087.86 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
57 Shade Win 13-8 1596.33 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
42 CITYWIDE Special Win 13-10 1593.33 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
54 Blueprint Win 12-8 1599.84 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
- Spring Break '93** Win 13-2 1042.82 Ignored Aug 25th The Incident 2018
58 Rumspringa Loss 10-13 770.38 Sep 8th Founders Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- Bearproof** Win 13-2 985.45 Ignored Sep 8th Founders Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- Mailmeñ Win 13-5 1359 Sep 8th Founders Mens Sectional Championship 2018
18 Pittsburgh Temper Loss 7-13 1113.86 Sep 8th Founders Mens Sectional Championship 2018
118 Adelphos Win 13-7 1275.92 Sep 15th Founders Mens Sectional Championship 2018
33 Richmond Floodwall Loss 9-13 924.99 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
25 Medicine Men Win 14-12 1626.54 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
125 Town Hall Stars** Win 13-5 1273.51 Ignored Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
109 JAWN Win 15-2 1369.86 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
68 John Doe Win 15-8 1604.01 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
20 Patrol Loss 10-13 1212.56 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)