#117 THE BODY (9-22)

avg: 730.94  •  sd: 71.15  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
95 Scythe Loss 12-13 754.07 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
120 KC SmokeStack Loss 5-9 182.69 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
111 Cryptic Win 13-7 1324 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
60 DeMo Loss 7-13 539.05 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
154 Black Market II Win 13-6 906.83 Jul 1st Spirit of the Plains 2018
111 Cryptic Loss 7-12 245.95 Jul 1st Spirit of the Plains 2018
124 Wisconsin Hops Win 9-8 821.35 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
73 Greater Gary Goblins Y Loss 9-13 597.23 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
159 Midnight Meat Train Win 13-3 835.84 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
116 Greater Gary Goblins X Loss 8-13 245 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
18 Pittsburgh Temper** Loss 1-13 1071.4 Ignored Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
70 Imperial Loss 3-13 430.56 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
121 BlackER Market Win 13-6 1306.46 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
73 Greater Gary Goblins Y Win 13-8 1511.96 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
163 Hippie Mafia Win 13-7 706.05 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
103 houSE Loss 6-13 223.54 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
123 Satellite Loss 11-15 319.99 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
47 MKE Loss 11-15 843.21 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
103 houSE Loss 9-15 308.06 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
59 Mallard Loss 8-15 533.25 Aug 25th Rutabaga Rebellion
72 Swans Loss 9-15 501.38 Aug 25th Rutabaga Rebellion
70 Imperial Loss 8-15 465.75 Aug 25th Rutabaga Rebellion
59 Mallard Loss 8-12 656.9 Aug 26th Rutabaga Rebellion
72 Swans Loss 9-10 891.86 Aug 26th Rutabaga Rebellion
124 Wisconsin Hops Win 15-11 1077.51 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
152 Green Bay Quackers Win 15-7 932.36 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
39 Mad Men Loss 11-15 897.8 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
47 MKE Loss 11-12 1099.38 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
32 General Strike Loss 11-14 1033.16 Sep 9th Northwest Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
39 Mad Men Loss 9-14 805.1 Sep 9th Northwest Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
103 houSE Loss 10-13 495.4 Sep 9th Northwest Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)