#80 ISO Atmo (17-20)

avg: 1146.91  •  sd: 41.34  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
59 Scythe Win 12-10 1520.92 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
90 PowderHogs Win 12-10 1330.92 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
32 Prairie Fire Loss 2-13 883.73 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
34 Johnny Encore Loss 4-13 878.79 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
113 Choice City Hops Win 10-8 1254.56 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
41 Inception Loss 10-15 966.84 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
56 Ghost Train Loss 11-12 1195.48 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
69 Streetgang Loss 9-12 889.11 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
52 El Niño Loss 9-14 882.98 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
174 Daybreak Win 13-0 1235.48 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
68 Sawtooth Loss 9-11 987.21 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
50 UpRoar Win 13-8 1856.63 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
46 Haymaker Loss 10-13 1068.49 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
21 Brickyard Loss 5-13 1043.19 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
18 Yogosbo Loss 5-13 1116.13 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
84 Black Lung Win 13-8 1621.71 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
73 Swans Loss 10-13 855.37 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
57 Cryptic Loss 10-13 975.33 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
174 Daybreak Win 13-4 1235.48 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
61 Battery Loss 10-12 1041.17 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
55 OAT Win 13-10 1649.87 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
90 PowderHogs Win 11-10 1217.8 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
49 The Killjoys Win 14-13 1509.64 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
168 Sandbaggers Win 13-5 1274.22 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
68 Sawtooth Loss 9-11 987.21 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
161 Boulder United Flatiron Hammers Win 13-8 1211.46 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
113 Choice City Hops Loss 10-13 663.75 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
41 Inception Loss 10-12 1182.32 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
148 Syndicate Win 13-4 1392.64 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
148 Syndicate Win 13-12 917.64 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
174 Daybreak Win 13-4 1235.48 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
26 H.I.P Loss 5-13 983.07 Sep 21st South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
88 Harvey Cats Win 12-11 1223.86 Sep 21st South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
40 Nitro Loss 10-12 1183.85 Sep 21st South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
64 Gamble Loss 9-13 832.67 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
79 Riverside Win 11-8 1516.78 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
71 Dreadnought Loss 8-12 749.54 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)