#89 The Killjoys (4-9)

avg: 903.08  •  sd: 98.66  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
31 Black Market Loss 9-12 1001.36 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
22 Voodoo Loss 8-13 1008.31 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
21 Prairie Fire Loss 8-13 1012.02 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
69 Gamble Loss 11-13 804.61 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
93 Battery Win 13-10 1212.03 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
43 Clutch Loss 11-13 1025.89 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
- NCFO Win 13-10 1255.57 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
80 ISO Atmo Win 13-8 1453.99 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
92 Choice City Hops Loss 5-13 287.99 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
81 Sundowners Loss 5-13 347.72 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
63 Sawtooth Loss 8-13 560.4 Sep 8th Big Sky Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- NCFO Loss 10-13 599.28 Sep 8th Big Sky Mens Sectional Championship 2018
88 PowderHogs Win 12-9 1253.84 Sep 8th Big Sky Mens Sectional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)