#44 Shade (22-11)

avg: 1409.19  •  sd: 65.66  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
87 Magma Bears Win 14-7 1688.27 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
17 Sprout Loss 10-14 1368.8 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
95 Red Tide Win 15-9 1592.55 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
141 Regiment Win 15-5 1439.81 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
62 Big Wrench Win 14-5 1876.64 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
8 DiG Loss 6-15 1351.74 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
42 Garden State Ultimate Loss 10-13 1085.88 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
29 Brickhouse Win 13-9 1926.81 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
62 Big Wrench Loss 8-12 835.48 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
23 Vault Loss 8-13 1127.49 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
47 CITYWIDE Special Loss 12-14 1171.54 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
132 Oakgrove Boys Win 13-4 1487.78 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
92 Town Hall Stars Win 12-9 1436.48 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
206 Sky Hook** Win 12-4 1027.12 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
200 NEO** Win 13-4 1055.9 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
129 JAWN Win 13-5 1502.71 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
51 Lantern Win 13-12 1483.82 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
94 Log Jam Win 10-6 1573.83 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
163 One Night Win 12-8 1152.29 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
209 Black Knights** Win 13-4 1000.51 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
237 Stuyvesant Sticky Fingers Alumni** Win 13-4 549.52 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
160 Big Muscle Boys Win 15-8 1297.06 Sep 7th Metro New York Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
206 Sky Hook** Win 13-5 1027.12 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
87 Magma Bears Win 15-8 1670.2 Sep 8th Metro New York Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
35 Blueprint Loss 9-15 961.71 Sep 8th Metro New York Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
53 Colt Win 14-11 1654.3 Sep 8th Metro New York Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
51 Lantern Win 15-6 1958.82 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
62 Big Wrench Loss 12-13 1151.64 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
139 Overcast Win 13-6 1442.47 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
8 DiG Loss 6-13 1351.74 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
10 GOAT Loss 9-15 1365.52 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
54 Red Circus Loss 10-11 1200.74 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
66 Deathsquad Win 15-12 1542.81 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)