#86 Bullet (15-15)

avg: 1106.7  •  sd: 61.36  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
36 Freaks Loss 5-12 875.4 Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
127 Rougaroux Win 13-9 1324.54 Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
117 Rush Hour ATL Win 10-9 1093.19 Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
85 ATLiens Loss 8-12 668.03 Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
36 Freaks Loss 10-11 1350.4 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2019
67 Ironmen Win 10-8 1500.82 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2019
85 ATLiens Win 10-7 1498.85 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2019
142 Space Coast Ultimate Win 13-5 1439.44 Jul 20th 2019 Club Terminus
203 War Machine** Win 13-3 1039.03 Ignored Jul 20th 2019 Club Terminus
152 Predator Win 13-2 1366.62 Jul 20th 2019 Club Terminus
102 Charleston Heat Stroke Win 12-8 1475.61 Jul 21st 2019 Club Terminus
120 baNC Win 13-8 1432.38 Jul 21st 2019 Club Terminus
143 Space Cowboys Win 13-6 1427.93 Jul 21st 2019 Club Terminus
127 Rougaroux Win 13-8 1402.13 Aug 17th Mudbowl 2019
67 Ironmen Loss 9-12 892.79 Aug 17th Mudbowl 2019
28 Clutch Loss 5-13 912.24 Aug 17th Mudbowl 2019
108 H.O.G. Ultimate Loss 7-12 492.48 Aug 18th Mudbowl 2019
128 Swamp Horse Win 13-8 1401.7 Aug 18th Mudbowl 2019
127 Rougaroux Loss 11-13 677.13 Aug 18th Mudbowl 2019
108 H.O.G. Ultimate Loss 10-11 887.99 Sep 7th East Coast Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
37 Tanasi Loss 6-13 875.25 Sep 7th East Coast Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
117 Rush Hour ATL Loss 11-12 843.19 Sep 7th East Coast Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
102 Charleston Heat Stroke Loss 10-11 909.45 Sep 7th East Coast Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
38 Lost Boys Loss 8-13 946.84 Sep 8th East Coast Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
143 Space Cowboys Win 13-5 1427.93 Sep 8th East Coast Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
117 Rush Hour ATL Win 15-6 1568.19 Sep 8th East Coast Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
36 Freaks Loss 5-13 875.4 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
37 Tanasi Loss 9-13 1056.68 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
67 Ironmen Loss 9-13 819.59 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
128 Swamp Horse Win 14-9 1379.41 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)