#90 PowderHogs (9-19)

avg: 1092.8  •  sd: 54.44  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
59 Scythe Loss 11-13 1053.96 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
80 ISO Atmo Loss 10-12 908.79 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
34 Johnny Encore Loss 12-13 1353.79 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
32 Prairie Fire Loss 9-13 1065.16 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
115 Johnny Walker Loss 14-15 861.54 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
39 Blackfish Loss 10-15 977.12 Aug 3rd CBR 2019
74 Dark Star Loss 10-15 729.01 Aug 3rd CBR 2019
162 Rip City Win 15-6 1314.22 Aug 3rd CBR 2019
39 Blackfish Loss 9-15 915.25 Aug 4th CBR 2019
100 Seattle Blacklist Win 14-12 1257.6 Aug 4th CBR 2019
174 Daybreak Win 13-2 1235.48 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
55 OAT Loss 10-13 993.59 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
168 Sandbaggers Win 13-10 1002.36 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
80 ISO Atmo Loss 10-11 1021.91 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
113 Choice City Hops Loss 9-12 646.53 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
61 Battery Loss 11-13 1050.45 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
55 OAT Win 12-10 1559.85 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
105 Low Point Win 13-8 1517.25 Sep 7th Big Sky Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
- Old Ephraim Win 13-10 1027.04 Sep 7th Big Sky Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
168 Sandbaggers Win 13-8 1170.38 Sep 7th Big Sky Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
68 Sawtooth Loss 11-13 1007.57 Sep 7th Big Sky Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
49 The Killjoys Loss 8-11 1019.03 Sep 8th Big Sky Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
49 The Killjoys Loss 14-15 1259.64 Sep 8th Big Sky Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
74 Dark Star Loss 10-13 854.47 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
1 Sockeye** Loss 5-13 1658.77 Ignored Sep 21st Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
68 Sawtooth Loss 11-13 1007.57 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
19 Voodoo Loss 0-13 1091.19 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
100 Seattle Blacklist Win 15-11 1417.81 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)