#183 Yacht Club (3-16)

avg: 564.6  •  sd: 69.43  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
60 Swans Loss 9-13 852.71 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
20 Yogosbo** Loss 3-13 1133.03 Ignored Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
174 Red Bat Loss 11-12 514.73 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
34 Mad Men** Loss 3-9 874.41 Ignored Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
101 Imperial Loss 5-9 510.78 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
130 Kansas City Smokestack Loss 4-11 296.64 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
90 Choice City Hops Loss 9-10 978.6 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
130 Kansas City Smokestack Loss 6-7 771.64 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
60 Swans Loss 5-11 671.27 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
85 Dreadnought Loss 5-11 515.25 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
234 Identity Crisis Win 15-6 652.9 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
136 Syndicate Win 14-12 1077.04 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
214 Tsunami B Loss 10-11 230.38 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
214 Tsunami B Win 15-0 955.38 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
74 DeMo Loss 7-15 568.98 Sep 7th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
32 Prairie Fire** Loss 4-15 914.11 Ignored Sep 7th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
118 CaSTLe Loss 6-15 353.91 Sep 7th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
130 Kansas City Smokestack Loss 8-15 331.83 Sep 8th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
174 Red Bat Loss 8-13 143.57 Sep 8th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)