#60 DeMo (22-9)

avg: 1096.58  •  sd: 52.29  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
95 Scythe Win 13-11 1107.91 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
154 Black Market II** Win 13-5 906.83 Ignored Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
111 Cryptic Win 13-0 1366.47 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
117 THE BODY Win 13-7 1288.47 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
31 Black Market Loss 6-13 746.73 Jul 1st Spirit of the Plains 2018
32 General Strike Loss 1-11 746.5 Jul 1st Spirit of the Plains 2018
53 Illusion Win 11-9 1423.29 Jul 1st Spirit of the Plains 2018
95 Scythe Win 11-9 1128.27 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
110 Dreadnought Win 12-10 1007.51 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
59 Mallard Loss 9-11 848.85 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
153 Rawhide Win 11-6 854.83 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
130 Syndicate Win 11-7 1097.87 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
95 Scythe Win 13-7 1436.6 Jul 22nd The Royal Experience 18
92 Choice City Hops Win 17-16 1012.99 Jul 22nd The Royal Experience 18
83 Supercell Loss 11-15 559.47 Jul 22nd The Royal Experience 18
116 Greater Gary Goblins X Win 13-11 970 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
47 MKE Win 13-10 1552.52 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
136 Pipeline Win 13-9 999.38 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
111 Cryptic Win 15-11 1147.63 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
103 houSE Win 15-9 1339.02 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
47 MKE Win 17-15 1427.51 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
49 CaSTLe Win 14-13 1339.15 Sep 15th West Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
120 KC SmokeStack Win 11-8 1077.36 Sep 15th West Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
111 Cryptic Win 13-9 1185.03 Sep 15th West Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
21 Prairie Fire Loss 11-15 1127.02 Sep 16th West Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
39 Mad Men Loss 8-13 782.81 Sep 22nd North Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
8 Sub Zero Loss 7-13 1272.24 Sep 22nd North Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
21 Prairie Fire Loss 7-13 950.65 Sep 22nd North Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
72 Swans Win 13-10 1345 Sep 22nd North Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
95 Scythe Loss 9-13 460.5 Sep 23rd North Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
59 Mallard Win 13-12 1223.06 Sep 23rd North Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)