#138 Glycerine (14-18)

avg: 854.45  •  sd: 57.33  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
64 Gamble Loss 6-13 651.24 Jun 29th Texas 2 Finger Mens and Womens
217 Surrilic Audovice Loss 10-11 187.16 Jun 29th Texas 2 Finger Mens and Womens
106 Papa Bear Loss 11-13 791.12 Jun 29th Texas 2 Finger Mens and Womens
88 Harvey Cats Loss 8-10 836.2 Jun 29th Texas 2 Finger Mens and Womens
215 Messengers-B Win 13-5 941.18 Jun 30th Texas 2 Finger Mens and Womens
201 Alamode Win 15-7 1051.91 Jun 30th Texas 2 Finger Mens and Womens
222 Texas Toast Win 15-6 861.24 Jun 30th Texas 2 Finger Mens and Womens
79 Riverside Loss 9-15 635.69 Jul 13th Riverside Classic 2019
106 Papa Bear Loss 10-13 691.82 Jul 13th Riverside Classic 2019
213 Quaze Win 15-12 681.53 Jul 13th Riverside Classic 2019
215 Messengers-B Win 14-13 466.18 Jul 14th Riverside Classic 2019
222 Texas Toast Win 15-7 861.24 Jul 14th Riverside Classic 2019
201 Alamode Win 13-9 870.47 Jul 14th Riverside Classic 2019
72 Texas United Loss 8-15 620.57 Jul 14th Riverside Classic 2019
71 Dreadnought Win 13-11 1419.54 Aug 17th Hootie on the Hill 2019
155 Supercell Win 13-7 1305.84 Aug 17th Hootie on the Hill 2019
189 Rawhide Win 13-7 1090.46 Aug 17th Hootie on the Hill 2019
71 Dreadnought Loss 13-14 1065.7 Aug 18th Hootie on the Hill 2019
155 Supercell Loss 10-13 420.16 Aug 18th Hootie on the Hill 2019
189 Rawhide Loss 3-4 407.93 Aug 18th Hootie on the Hill 2019
40 Nitro Loss 4-13 821.97 Sep 7th Texas Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
106 Papa Bear Loss 8-13 523.8 Sep 7th Texas Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
171 Rock Steady Win 13-7 1218.79 Sep 7th Texas Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
159 DUPlex Win 11-9 989.78 Sep 7th Texas Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
149 Flash Flood Win 12-8 1224.6 Sep 8th Texas Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
88 Harvey Cats Loss 5-13 498.86 Sep 8th Texas Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
106 Papa Bear Loss 8-13 523.8 Sep 8th Texas Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
58 Gaucho Loss 9-13 870.62 Sep 21st South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
16 Johnny Bravo** Loss 3-13 1189.53 Ignored Sep 21st South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
71 Dreadnought Loss 5-13 590.7 Sep 21st South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
113 Choice City Hops Win 12-6 1571.21 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
88 Harvey Cats Loss 11-12 973.86 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)