#59 Big Wrench (17-16)

avg: 1271.45  •  sd: 53.44  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
88 Club M - Manic Loss 10-14 713.07 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
96 Magma Bears Win 14-10 1466.9 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
148 Overcast Win 13-8 1273.38 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
141 Regiment Win 8-6 1131.63 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
88 Club M - Manic Win 15-10 1565.38 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
42 Shade Loss 5-14 810.03 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
26 Blueprint Loss 9-13 1131.5 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
77 Log Jam Loss 11-12 1029.43 Jul 6th AntlerLock 2019
17 Sprout Loss 11-13 1543.85 Jul 6th AntlerLock 2019
92 Red Tide Win 15-10 1533.93 Jul 6th AntlerLock 2019
227 Highlight Reel** Win 15-2 832.5 Ignored Jul 7th AntlerLock 2019
17 Sprout Loss 5-15 1172.69 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2019
92 Red Tide Win 11-9 1329.53 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2019
23 CLE Smokestack Loss 8-13 1139.5 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
38 Garden State Ultimate Loss 6-15 855.02 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
25 General Strike Loss 7-13 1007.36 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
67 UpRoar Loss 8-13 716.16 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
41 MKE Loss 6-13 810.84 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
30 Black Market I Loss 5-13 935.38 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
38 Garden State Ultimate Loss 12-13 1330.02 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
42 Shade Win 12-8 1851.18 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
22 Vault Loss 9-11 1416.71 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
135 Oakgrove Boys Win 13-7 1424.49 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
24 Brickhouse Loss 4-13 968.2 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
75 Richmond Floodwall Win 15-10 1618.77 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
49 El Niño Win 12-11 1472.98 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
108 Somerville BAG Win 9-8 1122.97 Sep 7th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
159 Ender's Outcasts Win 11-3 1336.52 Sep 7th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
189 Watch City** Win 13-3 1130.14 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
57 Red Circus Loss 8-9 1157.69 Sep 7th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
68 Deathsquad Win 15-9 1724.75 Sep 8th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
92 Red Tide Win 15-6 1680.32 Sep 8th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
57 Red Circus Win 15-13 1496.87 Sep 8th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)