#15 Rhino Slam! (20-14)

avg: 1817.59  •  sd: 62.3  •  top 16/20: 80.3%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
56 Ghost Train Win 13-9 1739.04 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
39 Blackfish Win 13-5 2030.73 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
158 Cojones** Win 13-3 1342.54 Ignored Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
162 Rip City** Win 13-4 1314.22 Ignored Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
13 Furious George Loss 15-16 1711.56 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
48 Red Dawn Win 15-8 1952.39 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
2 Truck Stop Loss 7-13 1623.49 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
12 Doublewide Win 14-13 1980.51 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
41 Inception Win 13-6 2020.45 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
1 Sockeye Loss 8-12 1817.61 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
16 Johnny Bravo Win 13-9 2208.1 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
4 PoNY Loss 6-13 1508.42 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
6 Revolver Loss 7-13 1481.04 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
60 Guerrilla Win 14-12 1502.99 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
22 Patrol Win 12-8 2070 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
18 Yogosbo Win 15-9 2231.61 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
31 Black Market I Win 11-7 1962.03 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
9 SoCal Condors Loss 7-10 1504.27 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
11 Pittsburgh Temper Loss 10-12 1623.62 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
13 Furious George Loss 10-13 1508.42 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
49 The Killjoys Win 13-11 1613.48 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
77 SOUF Win 13-9 1574.48 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
100 Seattle Blacklist** Win 13-4 1636.65 Ignored Sep 21st Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
13 Furious George Loss 0-1 1236.56 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
1 Sockeye Loss 9-15 1743.28 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
68 Sawtooth Win 15-5 1836.41 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
19 Voodoo Win 15-12 1991.68 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
3 Ring of Fire Loss 5-15 1569 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
12 Doublewide Win 15-11 2236.67 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
6 Revolver Loss 10-15 1584.96 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
2 Truck Stop Loss 7-15 1581.02 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
8 DiG Win 15-12 2252.23 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
4 PoNY Loss 14-15 1983.42 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
12 Doublewide Win 15-13 2069.69 Oct 26th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)