#200 NEO (9-18)

avg: 455.9  •  sd: 50.36  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
207 BlackER Market X Win 13-12 533.06 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
146 Babe Loss 7-12 296.85 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
135 Enigma Loss 7-13 318.34 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
228 Flying Dutchmen Win 9-7 500.73 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
193 Midnight Meat Train Loss 7-13 -52.45 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
136 Dynasty Loss 6-13 275.19 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
208 Red Imp.ala Win 9-8 530.55 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
220 Genny Lite Win 13-12 405.4 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
235 Buffalo Open Win 13-10 338.47 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
170 Adelphos Loss 9-13 243.57 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
112 Somerville BAG Loss 7-13 435.85 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
37 Tanasi** Loss 4-13 875.25 Ignored Aug 4th Philly Open 2019
151 Watchdogs Loss 11-15 395.34 Aug 4th Philly Open 2019
92 Town Hall Stars Loss 7-13 533.58 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
206 Sky Hook Win 12-9 772.48 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
129 JAWN Loss 6-13 302.71 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
44 Shade** Loss 4-13 809.19 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
175 Bomb Squad Loss 7-11 165.96 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
157 Ender's Outcasts Loss 7-13 185.12 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
193 Midnight Meat Train Win 11-9 754.29 Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
84 Black Lung Loss 5-11 525.55 Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
135 Enigma Loss 11-12 750.87 Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
133 Kentucky Flying Circus Loss 8-11 519.32 Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
228 Flying Dutchmen Win 12-10 459.51 Sep 8th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
184 Chimney Loss 4-13 -43.63 Sep 8th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
20 CLE Smokestack Loss 5-11 1062.79 Sep 8th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
208 Red Imp.ala Win 11-8 771.16 Sep 8th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)