#68 Sawtooth (19-13)

avg: 1236.41  •  sd: 61.38  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
148 Syndicate Win 13-6 1392.64 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
65 Dohrk Stor Win 11-9 1492.35 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
110 Oregon Eruption! Loss 8-10 746.51 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
19 Voodoo Loss 6-13 1091.19 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
56 Ghost Train Loss 11-13 1091.64 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
109 Green River Swordfish Win 15-11 1393.25 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
20 CLE Smokestack Loss 4-15 1062.79 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
43 MKE Loss 10-12 1173.21 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
63 Turbine Loss 7-15 652.54 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
174 Daybreak Win 12-11 760.48 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
50 UpRoar Loss 10-12 1122.35 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
80 ISO Atmo Win 11-9 1396.12 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
70 Sundowners Win 11-7 1695 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
49 The Killjoys Loss 8-13 888.48 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
113 Choice City Hops Win 13-11 1220.74 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
167 OC Crows Win 13-2 1274.71 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
158 Cojones Win 13-6 1342.54 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
61 Battery Win 10-8 1541.96 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
80 ISO Atmo Win 11-9 1396.12 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
49 The Killjoys Loss 9-13 966.07 Sep 7th Big Sky Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
- Old Ephraim Win 13-7 1256.43 Sep 7th Big Sky Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
168 Sandbaggers Win 13-6 1274.22 Sep 7th Big Sky Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
90 PowderHogs Win 13-11 1321.64 Sep 7th Big Sky Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
105 Low Point Loss 4-10 421.09 Sep 8th Big Sky Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
105 Low Point Win 13-9 1439.66 Sep 8th Big Sky Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
74 Dark Star Win 13-10 1510.76 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
1 Sockeye** Loss 3-13 1658.77 Ignored Sep 21st Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
19 Voodoo Loss 8-13 1195.03 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
90 PowderHogs Win 13-11 1321.64 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
49 The Killjoys Win 15-14 1509.64 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
74 Dark Star Win 15-12 1483.11 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
15 Rhino Slam! Loss 5-15 1217.59 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)