#29 Big Wrench (22-6)

avg: 1377.85  •  sd: 62.25  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
105 Bruises Win 15-11 1171.13 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
87 Westchester Magma Bears Win 15-2 1513.88 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
50 Colt Win 15-9 1728.34 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
54 Blueprint Win 15-10 1612.29 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
- NSOM Win 15-13 1502.99 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
11 DiG Loss 5-15 1197.25 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
118 Adelphos** Win 15-3 1318.38 Ignored Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
42 CITYWIDE Special Win 15-5 1865.19 Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
36 CLE Smokestack Loss 13-15 1085.45 Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
54 Blueprint Win 15-11 1539.85 Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
109 JAWN Win 10-5 1343.76 Jul 15th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
26 Brickyard Loss 8-13 902.68 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
39 Mad Men Win 13-6 1878.97 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
48 Four Win 13-7 1773.61 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
116 Greater Gary Goblins X Win 13-8 1237.32 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
47 MKE Win 12-11 1349.38 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
18 Pittsburgh Temper Loss 7-11 1204.5 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
138 Ender's Outcasts Win 13-8 1022.93 Sep 8th East New England Mens Sectional Championship 2018
156 One Night** Win 13-3 898.74 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Mens Sectional Championship 2018
134 Watch City Win 13-6 1188.9 Sep 8th East New England Mens Sectional Championship 2018
85 Pesterbug Win 13-10 1258.34 Sep 8th East New England Mens Sectional Championship 2018
105 Bruises Win 13-4 1389.97 Sep 9th East New England Mens Sectional Championship 2018
67 Red Circus Win 13-11 1268.36 Sep 9th East New England Mens Sectional Championship 2018
105 Bruises Win 15-7 1389.97 Sep 22nd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
87 Westchester Magma Bears Win 15-9 1429.36 Sep 22nd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
45 Mockingbird Win 15-10 1692.39 Sep 22nd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
3 PoNY Loss 9-15 1515.82 Sep 22nd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
28 Phoenix Loss 11-14 1066.58 Sep 23rd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)