#34 Mad Men (22-12)

avg: 1474.41  •  sd: 52.92  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
48 Cryptic Loss 11-12 1231.2 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
102 THE BODY Loss 12-14 808.18 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
74 DeMo Win 13-11 1397.82 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
56 Scythe Loss 8-10 1025.39 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
74 DeMo Loss 11-12 1043.98 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
174 Red Bat Win 11-6 1186.43 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
183 Yacht Club** Win 9-3 1164.6 Ignored Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
175 Milwaukee Revival** Win 13-5 1237.91 Ignored Jul 13th The Bropen 2019
100 Timber Win 13-6 1641.48 Jul 13th The Bropen 2019
87 Red Hots - u20 Win 13-6 1714.02 Jul 13th The Bropen 2019
52 Mallard Win 13-6 1929.58 Jul 13th The Bropen 2019
95 HouSE Win 13-7 1627.53 Jul 14th The Bropen 2019
28 Nain Rouge Loss 9-12 1200.71 Jul 14th The Bropen 2019
52 Mallard Loss 11-12 1204.58 Jul 14th The Bropen 2019
8 GOAT Loss 7-13 1439.69 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
38 Garden State Ultimate Win 13-11 1683.86 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
28 Nain Rouge Win 13-8 2042.24 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
24 Brickhouse Loss 9-13 1149.64 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
67 UpRoar Win 13-8 1708.48 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
28 Nain Rouge Win 13-10 1874.22 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
48 Cryptic Win 15-14 1481.2 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
74 DeMo Win 13-10 1497.12 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
41 MKE Loss 14-15 1285.84 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
48 Cryptic Loss 7-9 1076.86 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
56 Scythe Win 11-10 1413.06 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
60 Swans Loss 6-7 1146.27 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
60 Swans Win 11-8 1636.88 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
167 DINGWOP Win 11-6 1224.28 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
25 General Strike Loss 12-13 1439.89 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
210 Fargoats** Win 11-3 994.84 Ignored Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
102 THE BODY Win 11-3 1629.14 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
101 Imperial Win 11-2 1639.84 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
41 MKE Win 13-10 1738.98 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
25 General Strike Win 11-8 1930.5 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)