#68 John Doe (9-16)

avg: 1039.2  •  sd: 52.47  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
118 Adelphos Win 15-7 1318.38 Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
42 CITYWIDE Special Loss 9-15 749.71 Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
36 CLE Smokestack Loss 9-15 784.15 Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
54 Blueprint Loss 13-14 1033.68 Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
50 Colt Loss 6-11 666.17 Jul 15th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
36 CLE Smokestack Loss 9-11 1050.42 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
54 Blueprint Loss 8-12 717.53 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
37 Brickhouse Loss 9-13 869.65 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
23 Freaks Loss 6-13 901.12 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
33 Richmond Floodwall Loss 6-13 743.56 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
42 CITYWIDE Special Loss 9-10 1140.19 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
36 CLE Smokestack Loss 8-11 934.02 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
148 Bomb Squad** Win 11-3 970.44 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mens Sectional Championship 2018
126 Watchdogs Win 11-7 1138.29 Sep 8th Capital Mens Sectional Championship 2018
157 Winc City Fog of War** Win 11-2 893.22 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mens Sectional Championship 2018
25 Medicine Men Loss 7-11 938.69 Sep 8th Capital Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- Mr. Scott and the Tots** Win 11-2 735.56 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mens Sectional Championship 2018
33 Richmond Floodwall Loss 7-11 876.67 Sep 9th Capital Mens Sectional Championship 2018
52 Oakgrove Boys Loss 7-11 720.04 Sep 9th Capital Mens Sectional Championship 2018
58 Rumspringa Win 13-9 1517.09 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
126 Watchdogs Win 13-8 1167.56 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
76 Slag Dump Win 15-7 1590.89 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
18 Pittsburgh Temper Loss 6-13 1071.4 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
33 Richmond Floodwall Win 15-13 1557.74 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
30 Garden State Ultimate Loss 8-15 785.75 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)