#192 Trent's Team (3-11)

avg: 518.64  •  sd: 98.02  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
210 Gentlemen's Club Win 11-4 991.85 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
143 Space Cowboys Loss 4-11 227.93 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
203 War Machine Win 11-6 985.73 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
117 Rush Hour ATL Win 11-8 1333.8 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
36 Freaks Loss 5-11 875.4 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
38 Lost Boys** Loss 1-11 842.99 Ignored Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
152 Predator Loss 9-11 517.42 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
117 Rush Hour ATL Loss 5-7 640.04 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
128 Swamp Horse Loss 9-13 486.98 Aug 17th Mudbowl 2019
152 Predator Loss 4-11 166.62 Aug 17th Mudbowl 2019
140 ScooberDivers Loss 9-13 423.26 Aug 17th Mudbowl 2019
210 Gentlemen's Club Loss 10-11 266.85 Aug 18th Mudbowl 2019
203 War Machine Loss 9-13 20.46 Aug 18th Mudbowl 2019
187 Rampage Loss 11-12 412.55 Aug 18th Mudbowl 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)