#119 MomINtuM (15-15)

avg: 712.34  •  sd: 55.91  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
170 Bird Patrol** Win 13-0 625.47 Ignored Jul 21st Layout for Summer 2018
154 Black Market II Win 10-8 569.5 Jul 21st Layout for Summer 2018
139 Kentucky Flying Circus Win 13-5 1125.5 Jul 21st Layout for Summer 2018
161 Ironside Win 12-3 807.16 Jul 21st Layout for Summer 2018
100 Babe Loss 9-11 583.99 Jul 22nd Layout for Summer 2018
154 Black Market II Win 14-7 889.72 Jul 22nd Layout for Summer 2018
- Illinois Youth Ultimate - u20 Win 14-6 1124.42 Jul 22nd Layout for Summer 2018
95 Scythe Loss 12-13 754.07 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
121 BlackER Market Win 13-10 1034.6 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
163 Hippie Mafia Win 13-1 748.52 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
112 Enigma Loss 9-13 345.87 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
121 BlackER Market Win 11-8 1072.07 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
152 Green Bay Quackers Win 13-4 932.36 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
65 Mango Tree Loss 5-11 444.17 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2018
112 Enigma Loss 3-11 164.44 Aug 26th Indy Invite Club 2018
26 Brickyard** Loss 3-11 798.84 Ignored Aug 26th Indy Invite Club 2018
51 BroCats Loss 6-11 643.15 Aug 26th Indy Invite Club 2018
139 Kentucky Flying Circus Win 8-5 979.11 Aug 26th Indy Invite Club 2018
90 Omen Win 11-9 1150.23 Aug 26th Indy Invite Club 2018
123 Satellite Win 10-8 963.82 Sep 8th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- BlackEST Market Win 13-9 618.49 Sep 8th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
26 Brickyard** Loss 4-13 798.84 Ignored Sep 8th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
56 Haymaker Loss 5-13 530.27 Sep 8th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
121 BlackER Market Loss 8-10 443.79 Sep 9th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
116 Greater Gary Goblins X Win 15-7 1341.16 Sep 9th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
36 CLE Smokestack Loss 6-13 699.63 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
73 Greater Gary Goblins Y Loss 2-13 415.8 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
9 HIGH FIVE** Loss 1-13 1213.86 Ignored Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
116 Greater Gary Goblins X Loss 10-15 287.55 Sep 23rd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
90 Omen Loss 8-15 336.22 Sep 23rd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)