#43 MKE (19-15)

avg: 1411.33  •  sd: 59.65  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
28 Clutch Loss 10-14 1113.54 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
50 UpRoar Win 14-13 1485.47 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
68 Sawtooth Win 12-10 1474.54 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
56 Ghost Train Win 11-10 1445.48 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
46 Haymaker Loss 8-13 900.47 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
28 Clutch Loss 6-12 932.93 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
13 Furious George Loss 4-13 1236.56 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
31 Black Market I Loss 8-13 998.98 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
47 CITYWIDE Special Loss 8-13 896.34 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
40 Nitro Loss 11-13 1193.13 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
42 Garden State Ultimate Loss 10-13 1085.88 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
62 Big Wrench Win 13-6 1876.64 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
30 Mad Men Win 15-14 1621.08 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
116 Timber Win 13-6 1568.84 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
57 Cryptic Loss 11-13 1074.63 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
76 DeMo Win 11-7 1637.76 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
46 Haymaker Win 9-7 1675.97 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
73 Swans Win 11-2 1783.51 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
57 Cryptic Win 10-9 1428.47 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
45 Mallard Win 13-9 1815.79 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
178 Milwaukee Revival** Win 13-4 1209.07 Ignored Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
18 Yogosbo Loss 6-13 1116.13 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
30 Mad Men Loss 10-13 1167.94 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
73 Swans Win 10-5 1757.41 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
116 Timber Win 13-5 1568.84 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
96 HouSE Win 13-2 1652.49 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
25 General Strike Loss 8-11 1233.84 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
7 Sub Zero Loss 5-11 1385.71 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
116 Timber Win 11-7 1435.73 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
32 Prairie Fire Win 11-8 1849.34 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
59 Scythe Win 11-5 1882.8 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
45 Mallard Loss 9-15 881.74 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
57 Cryptic Win 15-10 1757.08 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
18 Yogosbo Loss 7-15 1116.13 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)