#45 Mallard (17-10)

avg: 1397.23  •  sd: 52.96  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
25 General Strike Loss 9-13 1180.88 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
59 Scythe Win 13-11 1511.64 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
137 Kansas City Smokestack Win 12-10 1110.57 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
97 THE BODY Win 12-5 1649.68 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
18 Yogosbo Loss 8-13 1219.97 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
73 Swans Win 10-7 1573.18 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
30 Mad Men Loss 6-13 896.08 Jul 13th The Bropen 2019
89 Red Hots - u20 Win 13-10 1426.01 Jul 13th The Bropen 2019
178 Milwaukee Revival** Win 13-5 1209.07 Ignored Jul 13th The Bropen 2019
116 Timber Win 13-6 1568.84 Jul 13th The Bropen 2019
30 Mad Men Win 12-11 1621.08 Jul 14th The Bropen 2019
98 Minnesota Superior U20B Win 13-7 1605.53 Jul 14th The Bropen 2019
18 Yogosbo Loss 6-13 1116.13 Jul 14th The Bropen 2019
43 MKE Loss 9-13 992.77 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
116 Timber Win 12-10 1206.96 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
96 HouSE Win 12-9 1397.85 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
18 Yogosbo Loss 10-13 1387.99 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
178 Milwaukee Revival** Win 13-5 1209.07 Ignored Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
73 Swans Loss 13-14 1058.51 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
30 Mad Men Loss 4-11 896.08 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
57 Cryptic Win 11-8 1669.08 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
18 Yogosbo Loss 7-11 1249.24 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
76 DeMo Win 11-7 1637.76 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
73 Swans Win 11-6 1730.21 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
7 Sub Zero Loss 7-15 1385.71 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
59 Scythe Win 15-11 1663.96 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
43 MKE Win 15-9 1926.81 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)