#38 Lost Boys (23-9)

avg: 1442.99  •  sd: 75.05  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
36 Freaks Win 11-4 2075.4 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
210 Gentlemen's Club** Win 13-3 991.85 Ignored Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
117 Rush Hour ATL Win 11-5 1568.19 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
143 Space Cowboys** Win 11-4 1427.93 Ignored Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
192 Trent's Team** Win 11-1 1118.64 Ignored Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
203 War Machine** Win 11-1 1039.03 Ignored Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
37 Tanasi Win 15-13 1689.43 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
52 El Niño Win 13-9 1775.41 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
26 H.I.P Win 13-8 2079.23 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
35 Blueprint Loss 9-12 1131.82 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
91 Richmond Floodwall Win 13-6 1692.01 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
47 CITYWIDE Special Loss 8-13 896.34 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
29 Brickhouse Loss 8-13 1012.09 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
120 baNC Win 13-8 1432.38 Aug 24th FCS Invite 2019
143 Space Cowboys** Win 13-3 1427.93 Ignored Aug 24th FCS Invite 2019
23 Vault Win 10-6 2119.81 Aug 24th FCS Invite 2019
99 Bash Bros Win 13-11 1271.56 Aug 24th FCS Invite 2019
107 Fathom Win 13-6 1619.53 Aug 25th FCS Invite 2019
63 Turbine Win 15-10 1706.14 Aug 25th FCS Invite 2019
23 Vault Loss 11-15 1242.49 Aug 25th FCS Invite 2019
117 Rush Hour ATL Win 13-8 1464.35 Sep 7th East Coast Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
102 Charleston Heat Stroke Win 13-8 1530.61 Sep 7th East Coast Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
37 Tanasi Loss 9-13 1056.68 Sep 7th East Coast Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
143 Space Cowboys Win 13-8 1324.09 Sep 7th East Coast Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
86 Bullet Win 13-8 1602.86 Sep 8th East Coast Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
108 H.O.G. Ultimate Loss 8-13 516.83 Sep 8th East Coast Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
128 Swamp Horse Win 13-3 1505.54 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
52 El Niño Win 13-9 1775.41 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
3 Ring of Fire Loss 9-13 1750.43 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
117 Rush Hour ATL Win 13-10 1296.33 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
36 Freaks Loss 11-12 1350.4 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
52 El Niño Loss 10-13 1028.7 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)