#57 Cryptic (26-13)

avg: 1303.47  •  sd: 44.83  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
30 Mad Men Win 12-11 1621.08 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
97 THE BODY Win 13-12 1174.68 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
76 DeMo Win 13-11 1399.7 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
73 Swans Loss 10-11 1058.51 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
103 Imperial Win 8-6 1334.55 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
59 Scythe Loss 8-12 841.64 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
178 Milwaukee Revival** Win 13-5 1209.07 Ignored Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
111 Black Market II Win 13-5 1595.25 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
208 Red Imp.ala Win 13-6 1005.55 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
96 HouSE Win 13-8 1548.65 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
18 Yogosbo Loss 11-13 1487.29 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
80 ISO Atmo Win 13-10 1475.06 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
61 Battery Win 13-12 1404.3 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
30 Mad Men Loss 14-15 1371.08 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
43 MKE Win 13-11 1640.17 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
76 DeMo Win 15-14 1295.86 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
30 Mad Men Win 9-7 1775.42 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
103 Imperial Win 11-4 1634.06 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
43 MKE Loss 9-10 1286.33 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
58 Gaucho Win 12-11 1414.19 Aug 24th Indy Invite Club 2019
81 Omen Win 11-9 1388.07 Aug 24th Indy Invite Club 2019
33 Nain Rouge Win 13-11 1707.64 Aug 24th Indy Invite Club 2019
58 Gaucho Win 15-13 1503.37 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2019
133 Kentucky Flying Circus Win 15-10 1338.53 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2019
81 Omen Loss 14-15 1013.86 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2019
- Miner Magic Win 11-5 1040.71 Sep 7th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
137 Kansas City Smokestack Win 11-10 997.45 Sep 7th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
177 Red Bat Win 11-5 1212.6 Sep 7th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
59 Scythe Loss 6-11 736.1 Sep 7th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
76 DeMo Win 15-12 1471.36 Sep 8th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
59 Scythe Win 16-14 1491.09 Sep 8th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
30 Mad Men Loss 10-12 1257.96 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
45 Mallard Loss 8-11 1031.62 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
73 Swans Win 11-8 1549.12 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
18 Yogosbo Loss 9-11 1466.93 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
76 DeMo Win 11-9 1420.07 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
25 General Strike Loss 10-15 1145.85 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
43 MKE Loss 10-15 957.73 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
59 Scythe Loss 8-13 786.64 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)