#54 Blueprint (17-17)

avg: 1158.68  •  sd: 55.34  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
- NSOM Win 15-14 1413.81 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
- All Bashed Out Loss 11-15 1080.73 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
- Sherbrooke Gentlemen's Club Win 13-12 1130.97 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
29 Big Wrench Loss 10-15 924.24 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
34 Lost Boys Loss 12-15 1008.7 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
62 Club M - Manic Win 15-10 1537.38 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
29 Big Wrench Loss 11-15 996.68 Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
68 John Doe Win 14-13 1164.2 Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
109 JAWN Win 14-8 1305.9 Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
50 Colt Loss 12-13 1087.86 Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
42 CITYWIDE Special Win 10-7 1654.85 Jul 15th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
33 Richmond Floodwall Loss 5-10 769.66 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
36 CLE Smokestack Win 11-8 1665.24 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
68 John Doe Win 12-8 1480.35 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
37 Brickhouse Win 11-6 1834.91 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
23 Freaks Loss 11-13 1272.28 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
52 Oakgrove Boys Loss 8-10 924.27 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
30 Garden State Ultimate Loss 6-10 854.39 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
57 Shade Loss 11-13 871.33 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
42 CITYWIDE Special Loss 11-12 1140.19 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
- Spring Break '93** Win 13-5 1042.82 Ignored Aug 25th The Incident 2018
30 Garden State Ultimate Loss 8-12 909.4 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
57 Shade Loss 8-11 734.56 Sep 8th Metro New York Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- Fat and Mediocre** Win 11-4 857.18 Ignored Sep 8th Metro New York Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- Stuyvesant Sticky Fingers Alumni** Win 11-1 466.09 Ignored Sep 8th Metro New York Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- Fusion** Win 11-2 705.75 Ignored Sep 8th Metro New York Mens Sectional Championship 2018
57 Shade Loss 10-14 701.47 Sep 9th Metro New York Mens Sectional Championship 2018
87 Westchester Magma Bears Win 13-9 1332.44 Sep 9th Metro New York Mens Sectional Championship 2018
57 Shade Win 14-10 1498.87 Sep 22nd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
11 DiG Loss 7-15 1197.25 Sep 22nd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
50 Colt Loss 11-14 899.53 Sep 22nd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
94 Red Tide Win 15-11 1262.69 Sep 22nd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
67 Red Circus Loss 13-14 914.52 Sep 23rd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
77 Deathsquad Win 15-10 1434.53 Sep 23rd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)