#63 Sawtooth (9-18)

avg: 1056.56  •  sd: 69.66  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
80 ISO Atmo Win 11-8 1323.44 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
92 Choice City Hops Loss 9-13 469.42 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
- Johnny Walker Loss 6-7 952.49 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
24 Inception Loss 8-13 925.18 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
162 Colorado Cutthroat** Win 15-3 783.8 Ignored Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
80 ISO Atmo Win 14-7 1540.72 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
22 Voodoo Loss 9-10 1379.47 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
12 Rhino Slam Loss 8-13 1283.51 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
39 Mad Men Win 14-12 1499.93 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
69 Gamble Loss 11-13 804.61 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
49 CaSTLe Loss 7-13 656.62 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
53 Illusion Win 12-11 1299.08 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
86 Green River Swordfish Win 12-8 1363.27 Aug 25th CBR Memorial 2018
6 Furious George Loss 6-13 1269.11 Aug 25th CBR Memorial 2018
46 Ghost Train Loss 8-9 1100.83 Aug 25th CBR Memorial 2018
38 Dark Star Loss 6-12 700.61 Aug 25th CBR Memorial 2018
78 Rip City Ultimate Loss 6-10 479.64 Aug 26th CBR Memorial 2018
91 Sprawl Win 12-6 1476.68 Aug 26th CBR Memorial 2018
40 Streetgang Loss 7-9 995.76 Aug 26th CBR Memorial 2018
89 The Killjoys Win 13-8 1399.24 Sep 8th Big Sky Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- NCFO Loss 10-13 599.28 Sep 8th Big Sky Mens Sectional Championship 2018
88 PowderHogs Loss 10-13 580.34 Sep 8th Big Sky Mens Sectional Championship 2018
12 Rhino Slam** Loss 4-13 1179.67 Ignored Sep 22nd Northwest Mens Regional Championship 2018
6 Furious George** Loss 3-13 1269.11 Ignored Sep 22nd Northwest Mens Regional Championship 2018
46 Ghost Train Loss 8-13 729.67 Sep 22nd Northwest Mens Regional Championship 2018
78 Rip City Ultimate Win 13-7 1533.33 Sep 23rd Northwest Mens Regional Championship 2018
38 Dark Star Loss 11-13 1051.08 Sep 23rd Northwest Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)