#26 Blueprint (17-6)

avg: 1550.07  •  sd: 71.26  •  top 16/20: 0.1%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
50 Colt Win 15-5 1944.87 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
123 Sherbrooke Gentlemen's Club** Win 15-5 1518.98 Ignored Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
44 Lantern Win 13-12 1504.35 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
50 Colt Loss 12-14 1123.91 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
59 Big Wrench Win 13-9 1690.02 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
10 DiG Loss 5-15 1367.04 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
111 Fathom Win 11-5 1573.92 Jul 20th Stonewalled 2019
199 Winc City Fog of War** Win 11-3 1064.6 Ignored Jul 20th Stonewalled 2019
135 Oakgrove Boys Win 11-6 1413.65 Jul 20th Stonewalled 2019
96 Magma Bears Win 13-4 1668.2 Jul 21st Stonewalled 2019
98 Town Hall Stars Win 13-8 1553.2 Jul 21st Stonewalled 2019
22 Vault Loss 11-13 1437.08 Jul 21st Stonewalled 2019
43 CITYWIDE Special Win 13-7 1959.48 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
37 Lost Boys Win 12-9 1806.45 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
49 El Niño Loss 7-13 790.45 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
75 Richmond Floodwall Win 13-8 1661.33 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
27 H.I.P Loss 11-13 1319.71 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
22 Vault Loss 10-15 1212.31 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
226 Fusion** Win 17-6 833.89 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
207 Sky Hook** Win 15-6 1019.62 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
158 Big Muscle Boys** Win 17-7 1340.13 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
42 Shade Win 15-9 1925.51 Sep 8th Metro New York Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
77 Log Jam Win 14-5 1754.43 Sep 8th Metro New York Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)