#18 Patrol (13-6)

avg: 1738.32  •  sd: 94.31  •  top 16/20: 23.9%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
11 Johnny Bravo Loss 9-13 1480.14 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
9 SoCal Condors Loss 7-13 1412.86 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
3 PoNY Loss 11-12 2043.01 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
16 Chain Lightning Win 13-8 2333.13 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
39 Inception Win 12-10 1652.82 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
32 Prairie Fire Win 12-10 1752.23 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
63 Guerrilla Win 15-9 1772.58 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
20 Yogosbo Win 15-11 2114.2 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
15 Rhino Slam! Loss 8-12 1412.39 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
10 DiG Loss 5-12 1367.04 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
30 Black Market I Win 10-5 2109.28 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
32 Prairie Fire Win 10-8 1776.77 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
12 Pittsburgh Temper Loss 7-9 1610.52 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
172 Hazard** Win 13-2 1256.28 Ignored Sep 7th Founders Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
58 Rumspringa Win 13-7 1834.6 Sep 7th Founders Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
171 Adelphos** Win 13-3 1256.81 Ignored Sep 7th Founders Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
239 Philadelphia Padawans** Win 13-0 510.17 Ignored Sep 7th Founders Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
43 CITYWIDE Special Win 12-9 1747.31 Sep 8th Founders Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
131 Slag Dump Win 13-6 1492.66 Sep 8th Founders Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)