#71 UpRoar (18-14)

avg: 1023.21  •  sd: 56.59  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
66 Bullet Loss 4-13 441.59 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
44 El Niño Loss 8-13 748.84 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
145 Rampage Win 13-8 932.01 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
102 H.O.G. Ultimate Win 12-10 1065.64 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
165 War Machine Win 12-9 448.87 Jun 17th ATL Classic 2018
108 Swamp Horse Win 13-9 1190.02 Jun 17th ATL Classic 2018
- ATLiens Loss 10-11 673.36 Jun 17th ATL Classic 2018
55 Ironmen Loss 7-13 594.69 Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
23 Freaks Loss 5-13 901.12 Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
101 Memphis Belle Win 13-11 1058.71 Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
145 Rampage Win 7-5 763.99 Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
115 Rougaroux Loss 12-13 629.42 Jul 8th Huckfest 2018
97 Rush Hour Loss 9-10 726.18 Jul 8th Huckfest 2018
98 Southern Hospitality Loss 9-10 724.05 Jul 8th Huckfest 2018
160 Duel** Win 13-2 825.03 Ignored Aug 18th Trestlemania III
145 Rampage Win 13-8 932.01 Aug 18th Trestlemania III
41 Coastal Empire Loss 9-13 851.77 Aug 18th Trestlemania III
102 H.O.G. Ultimate Win 13-8 1323.67 Aug 18th Trestlemania III
104 Black Lung Win 13-9 1227.29 Aug 19th Trestlemania III
114 Cockfight Win 12-9 1108.84 Aug 19th Trestlemania III
41 Coastal Empire Loss 12-13 1145.34 Aug 19th Trestlemania III
44 El Niño Loss 6-11 698.31 Sep 8th Florida Mens Sectional Championship 2018
168 Tyranny** Win 11-4 660.32 Ignored Sep 8th Florida Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- GrandMaster Flash** Win 11-4 723.1 Ignored Sep 8th Florida Mens Sectional Championship 2018
128 Vicious Cycle Win 11-5 1248.1 Sep 8th Florida Mens Sectional Championship 2018
44 El Niño Loss 10-13 916.86 Sep 9th Florida Mens Sectional Championship 2018
75 Omen Win 13-11 1221.58 Sep 9th Florida Mens Sectional Championship 2018
15 Chain Lightning Loss 8-13 1196.58 Sep 22nd Southeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
27 Turbine Win 13-11 1621.03 Sep 22nd Southeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
41 Coastal Empire Win 14-13 1395.34 Sep 22nd Southeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
75 Omen Win 13-10 1320.88 Sep 22nd Southeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
23 Freaks Loss 9-15 985.64 Sep 23rd Southeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)