#94 Red Tide (19-9)

avg: 881.52  •  sd: 50.48  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
113 Club M - Magma Win 16-14 972.53 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
64 Overcast Loss 11-15 667.05 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
- BUDA Win 15-11 1108.05 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
113 Club M - Magma Loss 14-15 639.24 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
134 Watch City Win 15-12 889.39 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
96 Shrike Win 14-13 986.82 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
105 Bruises Win 15-11 1171.13 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2018
87 Westchester Magma Bears Loss 13-15 699.7 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2018
156 One Night Win 15-10 752.34 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2018
131 Somerville BAG Win 15-13 842.55 Jul 8th AntlerLock 2018
77 Deathsquad Loss 11-15 599.76 Jul 8th AntlerLock 2018
- Allen's Adolescents** Win 13-0 600 Ignored Jul 21st Vacationland 2018
- Allen's Adolescents** Win 13-2 600 Ignored Jul 21st Vacationland 2018
138 Ender's Outcasts Win 15-6 1126.77 Jul 21st Vacationland 2018
156 One Night Win 13-4 898.74 Jul 21st Vacationland 2018
85 Pesterbug Win 13-11 1159.04 Jul 21st Vacationland 2018
105 Bruises Win 14-13 914.97 Jul 22nd Vacationland 2018
134 Watch City Win 15-4 1188.9 Jul 22nd Vacationland 2018
122 Baked Beans Loss 11-13 473.62 Sep 8th East New England Mens Sectional Championship 2018
77 Deathsquad Loss 7-11 514.03 Sep 8th East New England Mens Sectional Championship 2018
167 Neap Tide** Win 13-4 678.63 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- Bowdoin Win 11-8 715.59 Sep 8th East New England Mens Sectional Championship 2018
138 Ender's Outcasts Win 13-7 1084.3 Sep 9th East New England Mens Sectional Championship 2018
131 Somerville BAG Win 11-9 877.58 Sep 9th East New England Mens Sectional Championship 2018
67 Red Circus Win 11-8 1405.12 Sep 9th East New England Mens Sectional Championship 2018
54 Blueprint Loss 11-15 777.52 Sep 22nd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
50 Colt Loss 11-15 831.7 Sep 22nd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
11 DiG** Loss 3-15 1197.25 Ignored Sep 22nd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)