#59 Scythe (22-18)

avg: 1282.8  •  sd: 49.52  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
32 Prairie Fire Loss 6-13 883.73 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
90 PowderHogs Win 13-11 1321.64 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
34 Johnny Encore Loss 7-13 921.26 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
80 ISO Atmo Loss 10-12 908.79 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
115 Johnny Walker Win 15-8 1551.35 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
25 General Strike Loss 11-12 1474.45 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
45 Mallard Loss 11-13 1168.39 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
137 Kansas City Smokestack Win 13-11 1101.29 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
30 Mad Men Win 10-8 1758.75 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
97 THE BODY Win 10-6 1545.84 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
57 Cryptic Win 12-8 1744.63 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
18 Yogosbo Loss 7-13 1158.6 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
123 CaSTLe Win 11-9 1172.82 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
148 Syndicate Win 13-9 1211.21 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
76 DeMo Loss 11-13 942.02 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
236 Identity Crisis** Win 13-1 610.25 Ignored Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
73 Swans Loss 13-15 969.33 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
113 Choice City Hops Win 15-5 1591.9 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
71 Dreadnought Win 15-10 1644.3 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
46 Haymaker Loss 12-13 1271.63 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
73 Swans Loss 11-13 954.67 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
97 THE BODY Win 14-13 1174.68 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
122 Satellite Win 13-8 1422.19 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
30 Mad Men Loss 10-11 1371.08 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
46 Haymaker Win 9-8 1521.63 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
96 HouSE Win 9-7 1331.83 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
57 Cryptic Win 11-6 1850.17 Sep 7th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
- Miner Magic Win 11-5 1040.71 Sep 7th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
177 Red Bat** Win 11-4 1212.6 Ignored Sep 7th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
137 Kansas City Smokestack Win 11-7 1339.34 Sep 7th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
57 Cryptic Loss 14-16 1095.18 Sep 8th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
32 Prairie Fire Loss 6-15 883.73 Sep 8th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
25 General Strike Loss 4-11 999.45 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
7 Sub Zero** Loss 3-11 1385.71 Ignored Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
116 Timber Win 11-8 1334.45 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
43 MKE Loss 5-11 811.33 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
32 Prairie Fire Win 11-8 1849.34 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
30 Mad Men Loss 13-15 1281.91 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
45 Mallard Loss 11-15 1016.06 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
57 Cryptic Win 13-8 1799.63 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)