#56 Scythe (20-13)

avg: 1288.06  •  sd: 49.52  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
32 Prairie Fire Loss 6-13 914.11 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
97 PowderHogs Win 13-11 1292.95 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
31 Johnny Encore Loss 7-13 966.03 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
73 ISO Atmo Loss 10-12 949.58 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
138 Colorado Cutthroat: Youth Club U-20 Boys Win 15-12 1141.57 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
105 Johnny Walker Win 15-8 1589.69 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
52 Mallard Loss 11-13 1100.74 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
25 General Strike Loss 11-12 1439.89 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
130 Kansas City Smokestack Win 13-11 1125.48 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
48 Cryptic Win 12-8 1797.35 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
34 Mad Men Win 10-8 1737.07 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
20 Yogosbo Loss 7-13 1175.5 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
102 THE BODY Win 10-6 1525.3 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
74 DeMo Loss 11-13 940.14 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
136 Syndicate Win 13-9 1274.65 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
234 Identity Crisis** Win 13-1 652.9 Ignored Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
118 CaSTLe Win 11-9 1203.12 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
90 Choice City Hops Win 15-5 1703.6 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
85 Dreadnought Win 15-10 1568.85 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
60 Swans Loss 13-15 1057.09 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
47 Haymaker Loss 12-13 1236.42 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
117 Satellite Win 13-8 1453.35 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
60 Swans Loss 11-13 1042.43 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
102 THE BODY Win 14-13 1154.14 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
34 Mad Men Loss 10-11 1349.41 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
47 Haymaker Win 9-8 1486.42 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
95 HouSE Win 9-7 1349.33 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
48 Cryptic Win 11-6 1902.89 Sep 7th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
- Miner Magic Win 11-5 1068.02 Sep 7th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
174 Red Bat** Win 11-4 1239.73 Ignored Sep 7th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
130 Kansas City Smokestack Win 11-7 1363.53 Sep 7th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
48 Cryptic Loss 14-16 1147.91 Sep 8th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
32 Prairie Fire Loss 6-15 914.11 Sep 8th West Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)