#23 Vault (31-3)

avg: 1623.65  •  sd: 76.75  •  top 16/20: 4%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
87 Magma Bears Win 11-5 1705.39 Jul 20th Stonewalled 2019
212 Hail Mary** Win 11-2 991.12 Ignored Jul 20th Stonewalled 2019
151 Watchdogs** Win 11-4 1376.5 Ignored Jul 20th Stonewalled 2019
107 Fathom** Win 13-4 1619.53 Ignored Jul 21st Stonewalled 2019
51 Lantern Win 13-5 1958.82 Jul 21st Stonewalled 2019
35 Blueprint Win 13-11 1706.03 Jul 21st Stonewalled 2019
29 Brickhouse Win 12-11 1633.25 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
62 Big Wrench Win 11-9 1525.84 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
132 Oakgrove Boys Win 13-8 1383.93 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
44 Shade Win 13-8 1905.35 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
42 Garden State Ultimate Win 13-11 1642.86 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
26 H.I.P Win 15-12 1883.56 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
35 Blueprint Win 15-10 1930.79 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
107 Fathom** Win 13-5 1619.53 Ignored Aug 24th FCS Invite 2019
38 Lost Boys Loss 6-10 946.84 Aug 24th FCS Invite 2019
120 baNC** Win 13-2 1536.22 Ignored Aug 24th FCS Invite 2019
143 Space Cowboys** Win 13-3 1427.93 Ignored Aug 24th FCS Invite 2019
38 Lost Boys Win 15-11 1824.16 Aug 25th FCS Invite 2019
37 Tanasi Win 14-12 1696.21 Aug 25th FCS Invite 2019
99 Bash Bros Win 13-8 1538.87 Aug 25th FCS Invite 2019
- Fathom II** Win 11-0 600 Ignored Sep 7th Capital Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
176 Medicine Men** Win 11-1 1214.24 Ignored Sep 7th Capital Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
234 HB Woodlawn** Win 11-2 614.24 Ignored Sep 7th Capital Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
151 Watchdogs** Win 11-3 1376.5 Ignored Sep 7th Capital Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
175 Bomb Squad** Win 11-1 1232.86 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
92 Town Hall Stars Win 11-2 1691.11 Sep 8th Capital Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
91 Richmond Floodwall Win 13-10 1420.16 Sep 8th Capital Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
107 Fathom** Win 13-3 1619.53 Ignored Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Mens Club Regional Championship 2019
2 Truck Stop Loss 7-15 1581.02 Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Mens Club Regional Championship 2019
47 CITYWIDE Special Win 13-11 1621.34 Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Mens Club Regional Championship 2019
151 Watchdogs Win 13-9 1195.07 Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Mens Club Regional Championship 2019
42 Garden State Ultimate Win 15-10 1867.63 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Club Regional Championship 2019
22 Patrol Win 15-11 2010.01 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Club Regional Championship 2019
11 Pittsburgh Temper Loss 6-15 1261.75 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Club Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)