#57 Shade (19-8)

avg: 1100.17  •  sd: 61.6  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
85 Pesterbug Win 12-11 1055.2 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
34 Lost Boys Loss 12-14 1088.23 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
62 Club M - Manic Loss 11-15 702.61 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
50 Colt Loss 6-15 612.86 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
87 Westchester Magma Bears Win 14-9 1387.74 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
- Sherbrooke Gentlemen's Club Win 15-9 1521.45 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
126 Watchdogs Win 13-9 1089.96 Aug 11th Nuccis Cup 2018
169 Bearfest** Win 13-1 634.92 Ignored Aug 11th Nuccis Cup 2018
125 Town Hall Stars Win 13-7 1231.04 Aug 11th Nuccis Cup 2018
157 Winc City Fog of War** Win 13-2 893.22 Ignored Aug 11th Nuccis Cup 2018
- Tune-UP Win 13-9 990.23 Aug 12th Nuccis Cup 2018
77 Deathsquad Win 12-9 1326.29 Aug 12th Nuccis Cup 2018
87 Westchester Magma Bears Win 13-12 1038.88 Aug 12th Nuccis Cup 2018
30 Garden State Ultimate Loss 8-13 854.39 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
42 CITYWIDE Special Loss 8-13 769.03 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
- Spring Break '93 Win 13-6 1042.82 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
54 Blueprint Win 13-11 1387.52 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
- Fusion** Win 11-3 705.75 Ignored Sep 8th Metro New York Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- Fat and Mediocre Win 11-5 857.18 Sep 8th Metro New York Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- Stuyvesant Sticky Fingers Alumni** Win 11-4 466.09 Ignored Sep 8th Metro New York Mens Sectional Championship 2018
54 Blueprint Win 11-8 1524.29 Sep 8th Metro New York Mens Sectional Championship 2018
50 Colt Loss 9-15 697.38 Sep 9th Metro New York Mens Sectional Championship 2018
54 Blueprint Win 14-10 1557.38 Sep 9th Metro New York Mens Sectional Championship 2018
122 Baked Beans Win 15-9 1217.94 Sep 22nd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
77 Deathsquad Win 15-11 1362.09 Sep 22nd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
3 PoNY** Loss 4-15 1431.3 Ignored Sep 22nd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
54 Blueprint Loss 10-14 759.98 Sep 22nd Northeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)