#60 Swans (24-11)

avg: 1271.27  •  sd: 47.2  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
101 Imperial Win 10-7 1429.51 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
20 Yogosbo Loss 5-13 1133.03 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
183 Yacht Club Win 13-9 983.17 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
48 Cryptic Win 11-10 1481.2 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
52 Mallard Loss 7-10 939.91 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
25 General Strike Loss 8-11 1199.28 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
174 Red Bat** Win 10-3 1239.73 Ignored Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
130 Kansas City Smokestack Win 11-2 1496.64 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
85 Dreadnought Loss 7-9 835.91 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
183 Yacht Club Win 11-5 1164.6 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
214 Tsunami B Win 11-5 955.38 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
56 Scythe Win 15-13 1502.24 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
118 CaSTLe Win 15-9 1469.39 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
74 DeMo Win 15-14 1293.98 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
117 Satellite Win 13-6 1557.19 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
149 Ditto A Win 13-7 1332.44 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
193 Carolina Sky** Win 13-5 1108.09 Ignored Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
47 Haymaker Loss 9-13 942.86 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
73 ISO Atmo Win 13-10 1515.84 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
100 Timber Win 13-7 1599.01 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
20 Yogosbo Loss 8-13 1236.88 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
47 Haymaker Win 12-11 1486.42 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
56 Scythe Win 13-11 1516.9 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
102 THE BODY Loss 8-13 532.98 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
34 Mad Men Win 7-6 1599.41 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
41 MKE Loss 2-11 810.84 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
95 HouSE Win 11-5 1670 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
34 Mad Men Loss 8-11 1108.8 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
101 Imperial Win 11-8 1405.45 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
210 Fargoats** Win 11-2 994.84 Ignored Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
102 THE BODY Win 11-3 1629.14 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
52 Mallard Win 14-13 1454.58 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
41 MKE Loss 5-10 836.94 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
25 General Strike Loss 8-11 1199.28 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
167 DINGWOP Win 11-6 1224.28 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)