#73 Swans (24-18)

avg: 1183.51  •  sd: 47.2  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
18 Yogosbo Loss 5-13 1116.13 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
103 Imperial Win 10-7 1423.72 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
191 Yacht Club Win 13-9 946.13 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
25 General Strike Loss 8-11 1233.84 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
45 Mallard Loss 7-10 1007.56 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
177 Red Bat Win 10-3 1212.6 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
57 Cryptic Win 11-10 1428.47 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
71 Dreadnought Loss 7-9 911.36 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
191 Yacht Club Win 11-5 1127.56 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
219 Tsunami B Win 11-5 907.11 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
137 Kansas City Smokestack Win 11-2 1472.45 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
123 CaSTLe Win 15-9 1439.1 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
76 DeMo Win 15-14 1295.86 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
59 Scythe Win 15-13 1496.98 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
156 Ditto A Win 13-7 1303.28 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
196 Carolina Sky** Win 13-5 1078.8 Ignored Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
122 Satellite Win 13-6 1526.03 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
46 Haymaker Loss 9-13 978.06 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
116 Timber Win 13-7 1526.37 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
80 ISO Atmo Win 13-10 1475.06 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
18 Yogosbo Loss 8-13 1219.97 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
46 Haymaker Win 12-11 1521.63 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
97 THE BODY Loss 8-13 553.52 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
59 Scythe Win 13-11 1511.64 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
30 Mad Men Win 7-6 1621.08 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
96 HouSE Win 11-5 1652.49 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
43 MKE Loss 2-11 811.33 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
223 Fargoats** Win 11-2 852.17 Ignored Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
30 Mad Men Loss 8-11 1130.48 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
103 Imperial Win 11-8 1399.66 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
25 General Strike Loss 8-11 1233.84 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
45 Mallard Win 14-13 1522.23 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
169 DINGWOP Win 11-6 1220.25 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
43 MKE Loss 5-10 837.43 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
30 Mad Men Loss 7-11 1029.19 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
45 Mallard Loss 6-11 850.53 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
76 DeMo Loss 8-11 805.25 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
57 Cryptic Loss 8-11 937.86 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
18 Yogosbo Loss 4-11 1116.13 Sep 21st North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
32 Prairie Fire Loss 9-15 968.25 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
116 Timber Win 15-13 1183.02 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
76 DeMo Loss 14-15 1045.86 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)