#170 Adelphos (7-11)

avg: 662.14  •  sd: 69.82  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
220 Genny Lite Win 13-10 608.54 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
37 Tanasi** Loss 4-13 875.25 Ignored Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
112 Somerville BAG Loss 9-13 574.82 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
200 NEO Win 13-9 874.47 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
173 Hazard Loss 10-13 307.77 Aug 4th Philly Open 2019
235 Buffalo Open** Win 13-2 610.32 Ignored Aug 4th Philly Open 2019
92 Town Hall Stars Loss 9-12 745.75 Aug 10th Nuccis Cup 2019
129 JAWN Loss 3-13 302.71 Aug 10th Nuccis Cup 2019
151 Watchdogs Win 13-7 1334.03 Aug 10th Nuccis Cup 2019
197 Winc City Fog of War Loss 9-13 59.27 Aug 10th Nuccis Cup 2019
101 John Doe Loss 9-15 520.14 Aug 11th Nuccis Cup 2019
42 Garden State Ultimate** Loss 5-13 814.02 Ignored Sep 7th Founders Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
211 Bearproof Win 13-7 949.03 Sep 7th Founders Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
214 Apollo 7 Win 13-10 673.74 Sep 7th Founders Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
22 Patrol** Loss 3-13 1028.85 Ignored Sep 7th Founders Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
134 Green Means Bro Loss 10-12 638.09 Sep 8th Founders Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
173 Hazard Win 11-10 760.92 Sep 8th Founders Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
129 JAWN Loss 11-12 777.71 Sep 8th Founders Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)