#20 CLE Smokestack (24-3)

avg: 1662.79  •  sd: 74.35  •  top 16/20: 1.5%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
63 Turbine Win 15-5 1852.54 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
68 Sawtooth Win 15-4 1836.41 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
56 Ghost Train Win 13-10 1648.62 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
46 Haymaker Win 13-8 1892.79 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
28 Clutch Win 14-11 1825.58 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
63 Turbine Win 13-7 1810.07 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
25 General Strike Win 13-8 2095.61 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
62 Big Wrench Win 13-8 1772.8 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
50 UpRoar Win 13-10 1688.61 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
13 Furious George Loss 7-13 1279.03 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
25 General Strike Win 13-10 1927.59 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
54 Red Circus Win 13-7 1883.27 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
228 Flying Dutchmen** Win 11-0 821.39 Ignored Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
193 Midnight Meat Train** Win 11-2 1105.08 Ignored Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
84 Black Lung Win 11-8 1491.16 Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
133 Kentucky Flying Circus** Win 11-3 1484.93 Ignored Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
135 Enigma** Win 11-4 1475.87 Ignored Sep 8th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
200 NEO Win 11-5 1055.9 Sep 8th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
33 Nain Rouge Loss 9-13 1060.24 Sep 8th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
81 Omen Win 13-9 1557.43 Sep 8th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
21 Brickyard Win 10-8 1905.85 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2019
133 Kentucky Flying Circus Win 11-6 1431.62 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2019
81 Omen Win 11-4 1738.86 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2019
84 Black Lung Win 13-2 1725.55 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2019
31 Black Market I Win 11-7 1962.03 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2019
31 Black Market I Win 10-8 1757.8 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2019
5 Chicago Machine Loss 3-13 1487.11 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)