#112 Somerville BAG (20-13)

avg: 993.38  •  sd: 50.78  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
94 Log Jam Loss 13-15 863.49 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
188 Thunder Boys Win 13-8 1030.37 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
154 BUDA U20B Win 13-9 1171.17 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
157 Ender's Outcasts Win 9-8 867.66 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
181 Helots Win 15-13 796.58 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
139 Overcast Win 13-8 1338.63 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
54 Red Circus Loss 13-14 1200.74 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
141 Regiment Win 11-6 1386.51 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
188 Thunder Boys Win 11-9 783.42 Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
163 One Night Win 11-5 1311.13 Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
157 Ender's Outcasts Win 11-8 1108.26 Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
95 Red Tide Loss 5-11 477.07 Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
198 Madhouse Win 11-4 1077.09 Jul 21st Vacationland 2019
53 Colt Loss 7-13 783.43 Jul 21st Vacationland 2019
95 Red Tide Win 13-11 1305.91 Jul 21st Vacationland 2019
235 Buffalo Open** Win 13-3 610.32 Ignored Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
37 Tanasi Loss 11-13 1246.41 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
170 Adelphos Win 13-9 1080.7 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
200 NEO Win 13-7 1013.43 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
220 Genny Lite Win 13-9 698.96 Aug 4th Philly Open 2019
146 Babe Loss 11-15 436.2 Aug 4th Philly Open 2019
62 Big Wrench Loss 8-9 1151.64 Sep 7th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
54 Red Circus Loss 8-10 1063.08 Sep 7th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
157 Ender's Outcasts Loss 8-10 479.99 Sep 7th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
186 Watch City Win 12-4 1138.33 Sep 7th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
95 Red Tide Win 15-13 1291.25 Sep 8th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
163 One Night Win 12-9 1056.5 Sep 8th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
35 Blueprint Loss 8-13 981.03 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
17 Sprout Loss 6-13 1167.5 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
54 Red Circus Loss 8-13 829.58 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
94 Log Jam Win 14-13 1202.67 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
62 Big Wrench Loss 7-15 676.64 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
139 Overcast Win 14-13 967.47 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)