#225 Flying Dutchmen (2-17)

avg: 247  •  sd: 71.87  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
179 Chimney Loss 12-13 460.69 Jun 22nd SCINNY 2019
224 Bird Patrol Win 14-13 387.11 Jun 22nd SCINNY 2019
185 A-Block Win 15-14 678.5 Jun 22nd SCINNY 2019
137 Babe Loss 12-13 716.9 Jun 22nd SCINNY 2019
82 Black Lung** Loss 4-15 526.33 Ignored Jun 23rd SCINNY 2019
201 Flying Pig Loss 3-15 -145.08 Jun 23rd SCINNY 2019
204 Red Imp.ala Loss 10-12 193.09 Jun 23rd SCINNY 2019
129 Kentucky Flying Circus** Loss 2-13 298.44 Ignored Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
157 BlackER Market Y Loss 7-12 221.98 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
70 Omen** Loss 4-13 602.52 Ignored Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
200 NEO Loss 7-9 184.15 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
129 Kentucky Flying Circus** Loss 3-13 298.44 Ignored Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
233 Buffalo Open Loss 9-11 -178.62 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
23 CLE Smokestack** Loss 0-11 1035.66 Ignored Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
191 Midnight Meat Train Loss 5-11 -73.6 Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
82 Black Lung** Loss 3-11 526.33 Ignored Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
128 Enigma Loss 7-11 432.23 Sep 7th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
200 NEO Loss 10-12 225.36 Sep 8th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
129 Kentucky Flying Circus** Loss 4-11 298.44 Ignored Sep 8th East Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)