#24 Inception (24-6)

avg: 1421.34  •  sd: 60.4  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
63 Sawtooth Win 13-8 1552.72 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
92 Choice City Hops Win 13-5 1487.99 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
- Johnny Walker Win 13-4 1677.49 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
80 ISO Atmo Win 12-8 1398.98 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
21 Prairie Fire Loss 10-15 1054.58 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
- Johnny Encore Win 15-12 1520.51 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
- Whiskeyjacks Win 11-4 1722.87 Jul 7th 2018 San Diego Slammer
81 Sundowners Win 11-2 1547.72 Jul 7th 2018 San Diego Slammer
86 Green River Swordfish Win 11-7 1389.01 Jul 7th 2018 San Diego Slammer
144 Gridlock** Win 11-1 1068.25 Ignored Jul 7th 2018 San Diego Slammer
74 DOGGPOUND Win 15-4 1597.3 Jul 8th 2018 San Diego Slammer
40 Streetgang Win 15-11 1656.26 Jul 8th 2018 San Diego Slammer
26 Brickyard Win 13-9 1817.4 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
2 Sockeye** Loss 5-13 1435.16 Ignored Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
19 Guerrilla Loss 6-13 947.89 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
21 Prairie Fire Win 13-11 1737.02 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
9 HIGH FIVE Loss 6-13 1213.86 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
92 Choice City Hops Win 15-8 1452.8 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- Boulder United Flatiron Hammers** Win 15-3 1015.85 Ignored Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mens Sectional Championship 2018
130 Syndicate** Win 15-5 1230.98 Ignored Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mens Sectional Championship 2018
80 ISO Atmo Win 13-11 1186.67 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mens Sectional Championship 2018
92 Choice City Hops Win 15-8 1452.8 Sep 9th Rocky Mountain Mens Sectional Championship 2018
162 Colorado Cutthroat Win 15-7 783.8 Sep 9th Rocky Mountain Mens Sectional Championship 2018
92 Choice City Hops Win 13-8 1384.15 Sep 22nd South Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
110 Dreadnought** Win 13-4 1369.38 Ignored Sep 22nd South Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
84 Gaucho Win 13-10 1267.43 Sep 22nd South Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
13 Johnny Bravo Loss 12-15 1475.96 Sep 22nd South Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
13 Johnny Bravo Loss 9-15 1260.98 Sep 23rd South Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
43 Clutch Win 15-8 1819.54 Sep 23rd South Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
35 Nitro Win 15-13 1516.43 Sep 23rd South Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)