#46 Haymaker (20-12)

avg: 1396.63  •  sd: 55.93  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
69 Streetgang Win 14-12 1455.44 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
174 Daybreak Win 15-10 1089.09 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
52 El Niño Loss 9-10 1231.84 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
43 MKE Win 13-8 1907.49 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
20 CLE Smokestack Loss 8-13 1166.63 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
69 Streetgang Win 10-8 1497.14 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
18 Yogosbo Loss 4-13 1116.13 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
21 Brickyard Loss 6-13 1043.19 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
80 ISO Atmo Win 13-10 1475.06 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
61 Battery Win 13-8 1775.45 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
21 Brickyard Loss 5-13 1043.19 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
73 Swans Win 13-9 1602.08 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
59 Scythe Win 13-12 1407.8 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
97 THE BODY Win 13-6 1649.68 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
73 Swans Loss 11-12 1058.51 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
43 MKE Loss 7-9 1132 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
103 Imperial Win 9-8 1159.06 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
59 Scythe Loss 8-9 1157.8 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
111 Black Market II Win 13-6 1595.25 Sep 7th Central Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
227 Bird Patrol** Win 13-2 833.85 Ignored Sep 7th Central Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
226 Nasty Girls** Win 13-1 834.16 Ignored Sep 7th Central Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
31 Black Market I Loss 11-12 1370.14 Sep 7th Central Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
172 MomINtuM** Win 15-5 1240.31 Ignored Sep 8th Central Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
111 Black Market II Win 15-11 1376.41 Sep 8th Central Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
31 Black Market I Loss 10-15 1041.53 Sep 8th Central Plains Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
111 Black Market II Win 11-6 1541.94 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2019
5 Chicago Machine Loss 5-11 1487.11 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2019
84 Black Lung Win 11-2 1725.55 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2019
33 Nain Rouge Win 11-9 1728.01 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2019
31 Black Market I Loss 8-13 998.98 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2019
84 Black Lung Win 13-6 1725.55 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2019
33 Nain Rouge Win 12-11 1603.8 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)