#65 Mango Tree (19-11)

avg: 1044.17  •  sd: 77.99  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
146 Dirty D Win 11-9 662.44 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
154 Black Market II Win 10-9 431.83 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
47 MKE Loss 3-11 624.38 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
- COAT Win 15-8 836.7 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
112 Enigma Loss 11-15 383.27 Jul 8th Motown Throwdown 2018
31 Black Market Loss 7-15 746.73 Jul 8th Motown Throwdown 2018
90 Omen Loss 3-11 301.03 Jul 8th Motown Throwdown 2018
127 Dynasty Win 15-10 1105.57 Aug 18th Oshadega Ultimate Invite 2018
76 Slag Dump Win 14-11 1304.22 Aug 18th Oshadega Ultimate Invite 2018
90 Omen Win 16-15 1026.03 Aug 18th Oshadega Ultimate Invite 2018
51 BroCats Loss 16-17 1064.85 Aug 19th Oshadega Ultimate Invite 2018
72 Swans Loss 8-15 452.05 Aug 19th Oshadega Ultimate Invite 2018
51 BroCats Loss 9-11 940.64 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2018
119 MomINtuM Win 11-5 1312.34 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2018
112 Enigma Win 11-7 1231.33 Aug 26th Indy Invite Club 2018
26 Brickyard Loss 3-11 798.84 Aug 26th Indy Invite Club 2018
139 Kentucky Flying Circus Win 11-8 891.11 Aug 26th Indy Invite Club 2018
90 Omen Win 11-8 1266.64 Aug 26th Indy Invite Club 2018
146 Dirty D** Win 13-0 1013.23 Ignored Sep 8th East Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
104 Black Lung Win 13-6 1408.72 Sep 8th East Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
136 Pipeline Win 13-7 1138.35 Sep 8th East Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
149 Chimney** Win 13-3 947.03 Ignored Sep 9th East Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
36 CLE Smokestack Loss 7-12 779.12 Sep 9th East Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
36 CLE Smokestack Win 12-8 1740.78 Sep 9th East Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
90 Omen Win 11-8 1266.64 Sep 9th East Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
7 Chicago Machine Loss 6-13 1244.93 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
51 BroCats Win 13-11 1418.69 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
116 Greater Gary Goblins X Win 13-6 1341.16 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
73 Greater Gary Goblins Y Loss 12-15 715.31 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
112 Enigma Win 15-5 1364.44 Sep 23rd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)