#34 Lost Boys (24-11)

avg: 1309.19  •  sd: 53.6  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
57 Shade Win 14-12 1321.12 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
62 Club M - Manic Win 14-11 1397.11 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
85 Pesterbug Win 15-8 1495.01 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
54 Blueprint Win 15-12 1459.17 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
- NSOM Loss 10-15 835.21 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
50 Colt Loss 6-9 794.3 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
37 Brickhouse Win 12-10 1526.34 Jul 21st Club Terminus 2018
108 Swamp Horse Win 13-8 1267.61 Jul 21st Club Terminus 2018
15 Chain Lightning Loss 6-13 1092.74 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
55 Ironmen Win 13-5 1752.22 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
61 Tanasi Win 9-8 1220.92 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
42 CITYWIDE Special Win 11-8 1630.8 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
30 Garden State Ultimate Loss 7-13 793.02 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
25 Medicine Men Win 13-11 1634.42 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
50 Colt Win 13-9 1631.43 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
37 Brickhouse Loss 11-13 1059.37 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
52 Oakgrove Boys Loss 10-13 858.79 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
25 Medicine Men Loss 10-13 1077.44 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
107 BaNC Win 13-9 1194.21 Aug 25th Rush Hour Round Robin 2018
66 Bullet Win 12-8 1482.74 Aug 25th Rush Hour Round Robin 2018
133 Holy City Heathens Win 11-6 1153.09 Aug 25th Rush Hour Round Robin 2018
97 Rush Hour Win 10-9 976.18 Aug 26th Rush Hour Round Robin 2018
98 Southern Hospitality Win 11-9 1098.25 Aug 26th Rush Hour Round Robin 2018
102 H.O.G. Ultimate Win 13-6 1427.51 Aug 26th Rush Hour Round Robin 2018
23 Freaks Loss 10-12 1262.99 Sep 8th East Coast Mens Sectional Championship 2018
133 Holy City Heathens Win 13-6 1206.4 Sep 8th East Coast Mens Sectional Championship 2018
102 H.O.G. Ultimate Win 11-7 1294.41 Sep 8th East Coast Mens Sectional Championship 2018
61 Tanasi Win 13-7 1653.45 Sep 8th East Coast Mens Sectional Championship 2018
15 Chain Lightning Loss 11-12 1567.74 Sep 9th East Coast Mens Sectional Championship 2018
66 Bullet Win 13-9 1460.15 Sep 22nd Southeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
15 Chain Lightning Loss 8-13 1196.58 Sep 22nd Southeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
128 Vicious Cycle** Win 13-4 1248.1 Ignored Sep 22nd Southeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
61 Tanasi Win 13-6 1695.92 Sep 22nd Southeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
44 El Niño Loss 10-13 916.86 Sep 23rd Southeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
61 Tanasi Win 15-7 1695.92 Sep 23rd Southeast Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)