#52 El Niño (21-10)

avg: 1356.84  •  sd: 53.89  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
108 H.O.G. Ultimate Win 11-6 1559.69 Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
120 baNC Win 13-6 1536.22 Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
67 Ironmen Win 12-10 1476.28 Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
203 War Machine** Win 13-4 1039.03 Ignored Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
36 Freaks Win 12-11 1600.4 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2019
85 ATLiens Win 12-11 1234.18 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2019
56 Ghost Train Win 14-13 1445.48 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
80 ISO Atmo Win 14-9 1620.78 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
56 Ghost Train Win 12-11 1445.48 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
46 Haymaker Win 10-9 1521.63 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
28 Clutch Loss 11-12 1387.24 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
63 Turbine Loss 9-11 1003.33 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
38 Lost Boys Loss 9-13 1024.43 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
26 H.I.P Loss 9-13 1164.5 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
35 Blueprint Win 13-7 2034.72 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
47 CITYWIDE Special Loss 7-12 871.99 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
62 Big Wrench Loss 11-12 1151.64 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
132 Oakgrove Boys Win 15-5 1487.78 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
91 Richmond Floodwall Win 10-8 1354.68 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
142 Space Coast Ultimate Win 13-9 1258.01 Sep 7th Florida Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
114 Omen Win 11-8 1354.69 Sep 7th Florida Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
216 Tyranny** Win 13-2 929.6 Ignored Sep 7th Florida Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
185 UpRoar Claws Win 13-6 1140.64 Sep 7th Florida Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
130 Vicious Cycle Win 15-5 1501.51 Sep 8th Florida Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
50 UpRoar Loss 14-15 1235.47 Sep 8th Florida Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
38 Lost Boys Loss 9-13 1024.43 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
128 Swamp Horse Win 12-7 1426.05 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
3 Ring of Fire** Loss 3-13 1569 Ignored Sep 21st Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
63 Turbine Win 11-9 1501.74 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
38 Lost Boys Win 13-10 1771.14 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
29 Brickhouse Loss 10-13 1180.11 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)