#44 Lantern (20-5)

avg: 1379.35  •  sd: 52.66  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
50 Colt Loss 8-10 1082.2 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
123 Sherbrooke Gentlemen's Club Win 15-10 1372.59 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
26 Blueprint Loss 12-13 1425.07 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
57 Red Circus Win 13-12 1407.69 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
88 Club M - Manic Win 14-12 1332.73 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
17 Sprout Loss 1-15 1172.69 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
131 Slag Dump Win 11-7 1359.55 Jul 20th Stonewalled 2019
107 John Doe Win 11-6 1553.63 Jul 20th Stonewalled 2019
178 Bomb Squad** Win 11-3 1222.61 Ignored Jul 20th Stonewalled 2019
75 Richmond Floodwall Win 13-8 1661.33 Jul 21st Stonewalled 2019
22 Vault Loss 5-13 1065.92 Jul 21st Stonewalled 2019
98 Town Hall Stars Win 13-11 1285.88 Jul 21st Stonewalled 2019
241 defunCT** Win 13-1 436.29 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
112 Genny The Boys Win 13-8 1467.74 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
159 Ender's Outcasts Win 13-7 1294.05 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
178 Bomb Squad** Win 13-4 1222.61 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
42 Shade Loss 12-13 1285.03 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
132 JAWN Win 13-8 1382.73 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
92 Red Tide Win 13-11 1309.16 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
68 Deathsquad Win 12-10 1447.39 Sep 7th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
197 Madhouse** Win 11-2 1076.15 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
92 Red Tide Win 7-6 1205.32 Sep 7th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
188 Thunder Boys** Win 11-2 1130.85 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
163 One Night** Win 11-3 1309.33 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
57 Red Circus Win 15-8 1847.5 Sep 8th East New England Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)