#41 Inception (15-13)

avg: 1420.45  •  sd: 46  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
113 Choice City Hops Win 14-13 1116.9 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
115 Johnny Walker Win 13-9 1405.11 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
16 Johnny Bravo Loss 11-12 1664.53 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
80 ISO Atmo Win 15-10 1600.52 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
32 Prairie Fire Loss 8-14 947.69 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
2 Truck Stop** Loss 2-13 1581.02 Ignored Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
12 Doublewide Loss 6-13 1255.51 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
15 Rhino Slam! Loss 6-13 1217.59 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
7 Sub Zero Loss 6-13 1385.71 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
22 Patrol Loss 10-12 1390.73 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
19 Voodoo Loss 9-13 1272.62 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
21 Brickyard Loss 11-15 1262.02 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
11 Pittsburgh Temper Loss 6-15 1261.75 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
19 Voodoo Win 15-13 1905.37 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
54 Red Circus Loss 8-10 1063.08 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
148 Syndicate** Win 13-4 1392.64 Ignored Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
174 Daybreak** Win 13-4 1235.48 Ignored Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
80 ISO Atmo Win 12-10 1385.04 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
161 Boulder United Flatiron Hammers Win 13-8 1211.46 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
113 Choice City Hops Win 13-9 1410.46 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
113 Choice City Hops Win 13-5 1591.9 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
64 Gamble Win 12-11 1376.24 Sep 21st South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
113 Choice City Hops Win 13-6 1591.9 Sep 21st South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
106 Papa Bear Win 13-7 1577.49 Sep 21st South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
16 Johnny Bravo Loss 9-13 1370.96 Sep 21st South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
26 H.I.P Win 12-11 1708.07 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
28 Clutch Win 8-6 1812.73 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
16 Johnny Bravo Loss 7-12 1269.02 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)