#50 UpRoar (14-11)

avg: 1360.47  •  sd: 62.76  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
28 Clutch Loss 4-15 912.24 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
43 MKE Loss 13-14 1286.33 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
63 Turbine Loss 8-15 687.73 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
174 Daybreak Win 13-10 963.63 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
68 Sawtooth Win 12-10 1474.54 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
80 ISO Atmo Loss 8-13 650.75 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
25 General Strike Loss 7-13 1041.92 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
20 CLE Smokestack Loss 10-13 1334.65 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
62 Big Wrench Win 13-8 1772.8 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
40 Nitro Loss 8-11 1056.36 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
30 Mad Men Loss 8-13 999.92 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
47 CITYWIDE Special Loss 11-13 1163.66 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
128 Swamp Horse Win 13-9 1324.11 Sep 7th Florida Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
140 ScooberDivers Win 13-9 1260.39 Sep 7th Florida Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
202 Scootlyfe** Win 13-5 1045.92 Ignored Sep 7th Florida Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
130 Vicious Cycle Win 13-5 1501.51 Sep 7th Florida Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
114 Omen Win 15-12 1289.57 Sep 8th Florida Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
52 El Niño Win 15-14 1481.84 Sep 8th Florida Mens Club Sectional Championship 2019
29 Brickhouse Win 13-11 1737.09 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
102 Charleston Heat Stroke Win 13-7 1591.99 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
99 Bash Bros Win 13-7 1600.25 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
36 Freaks Win 13-7 2032.93 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
37 Tanasi Win 13-10 1803.39 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
14 Chain Lightning Loss 6-13 1218.1 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
14 Chain Lightning Loss 4-13 1218.1 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)