#25 Medicine Men (14-12)

avg: 1405.58  •  sd: 76.72  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
10 Doublewide Loss 9-13 1393.92 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
2 Sockeye Loss 8-13 1539 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
16 Madison Club Loss 6-13 1092.51 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
12 Rhino Slam Loss 9-13 1361.11 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
17 SoCal Condors Loss 9-10 1556.02 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
3 PoNY Loss 7-13 1473.77 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
30 Garden State Ultimate Win 12-10 1588.68 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
34 Lost Boys Loss 11-13 1080.35 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
50 Colt Win 13-8 1709.02 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
52 Oakgrove Boys Loss 9-11 937.72 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
42 CITYWIDE Special Win 12-6 1844.5 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
23 Freaks Loss 7-13 943.58 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
34 Lost Boys Win 13-10 1637.33 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
148 Bomb Squad** Win 11-0 970.44 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mens Sectional Championship 2018
126 Watchdogs** Win 11-2 1271.4 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mens Sectional Championship 2018
157 Winc City Fog of War** Win 11-1 893.22 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mens Sectional Championship 2018
68 John Doe Win 11-7 1506.09 Sep 8th Capital Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- Mr. Scott and the Tots** Win 11-1 735.56 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mens Sectional Championship 2018
33 Richmond Floodwall Win 12-10 1581.68 Sep 9th Capital Mens Sectional Championship 2018
52 Oakgrove Boys Win 9-8 1311.93 Sep 9th Capital Mens Sectional Championship 2018
33 Richmond Floodwall Win 13-6 1943.56 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
30 Garden State Ultimate Loss 12-14 1129.6 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
125 Town Hall Stars** Win 13-4 1273.51 Ignored Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
18 Pittsburgh Temper Loss 4-15 1071.4 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
42 CITYWIDE Special Win 14-13 1390.19 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
20 Patrol Loss 13-14 1415.7 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)