#59 Mallard (18-9)

avg: 1098.06  •  sd: 47.89  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
95 Scythe Win 11-5 1479.07 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
110 Dreadnought Win 11-6 1316.08 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
153 Rawhide** Win 11-3 908.14 Ignored Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
130 Syndicate Win 11-3 1230.98 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
60 DeMo Win 11-9 1345.79 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
95 Scythe Win 15-10 1332.67 Jul 22nd The Royal Experience 18
120 KC SmokeStack Win 15-6 1311.75 Jul 22nd The Royal Experience 18
83 Supercell Win 15-10 1394.24 Jul 22nd The Royal Experience 18
132 DingWop Win 14-10 1007.89 Aug 25th Rutabaga Rebellion
72 Swans Win 15-11 1398.03 Aug 25th Rutabaga Rebellion
117 THE BODY Win 15-8 1295.75 Aug 25th Rutabaga Rebellion
70 Imperial Win 7-3 1630.56 Aug 26th Rutabaga Rebellion
117 THE BODY Win 12-8 1172.09 Aug 26th Rutabaga Rebellion
70 Imperial Win 15-13 1244.74 Aug 26th Rutabaga Rebellion
124 Wisconsin Hops Loss 14-15 571.35 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
163 Hippie Mafia** Win 15-5 748.52 Ignored Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
70 Imperial Win 15-10 1484.17 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
39 Mad Men Loss 4-11 678.97 Sep 9th Northwest Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
103 houSE Win 15-13 1037.72 Sep 9th Northwest Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
72 Swans Loss 14-15 891.86 Sep 9th Northwest Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
70 Imperial Win 15-13 1244.74 Sep 9th Northwest Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
49 CaSTLe Loss 11-12 1089.15 Sep 22nd North Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
53 Illusion Loss 6-13 574.08 Sep 22nd North Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
47 MKE Loss 8-13 728.22 Sep 22nd North Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
16 Madison Club Loss 8-13 1196.35 Sep 23rd North Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
60 DeMo Loss 12-13 971.58 Sep 23rd North Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
53 Illusion Loss 9-13 755.52 Sep 23rd North Central Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)